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Orchestrate Stayers
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Chasing Larryd 2y 19 | H J Dimmock — 19% R180 W34 P100 Trainer form — last 3 months | 45 | 50 | 87 (2) | 84 (2) | 100 (1) | 88 (3) | 100 (1) | 70 (3) | 72 (3) | 69 (4) | 92 (1) | - | 6 | 37 | 37 | 47 | 87 | 44 | 4 | 2/1F | ||
| 2 | ▶ Fabulous Hekab 3y 26 | P Janssens — 31% R58 W18 P44 Trainer form — last 3 months | 0 | 0 | 83 (3) | 90 (2) | 69 (4) | 82 (2) | 64 (2) | 100 (1) | 69 (6) | 57 (6) | 73 (3) | 95 (1) | 54 | 51 | 34 | 24 | 76 | 49 | 6 | 4/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Tooreen Roseb 2y 25 | K R Hutton — 28% R123 W34 P73 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | 50 | 72 (4) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 92 (2) | 53 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | 26 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 84 | 45 | 3 | 4/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Unthinkabled 3y 25 | S A Cahill — 19% R382 W74 P229 Trainer form — last 3 months | 100 | 100 | 86 (3) | 100 (1) | 61 (6) | 73 (2) | 87 (2) | 89 (2) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 59 (4) | 77 (4) | 19 | - | 45 | - | 78 | 34 | 1 | 6/1 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Underground Navyb 2y 14 | P W Young — 19% R1304 W242 P764 Trainer form — last 3 months | 89 | 100 | 70 (5) | 84 (2) | 100 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 30 | - | 100 | 32 | 2 | 8/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Bombay Nuttyd 3y 26 | M A Wallis — 36% R89 W32 P54 Trainer form — last 3 months | 43 | 38 | 71 (5) | 79 (4) | 100 (1) | 90 (2) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 84 (2) | 93 (2) | 73 (4) | 96 (2) | 37 | 45 | 30 | 21 | 90 | 48 | 5 | 3/1 | ||
Won this exact race at Towcester 712m exactly two weeks ago — P100 and she won it well. The race before that she was placed at 630m. She is lightly raced, which is always a consideration, but the evidence available is high-quality and directly relevant: she has shown she belongs at this distance and venue. Her early pace means she should be prominent from the off and will try to make all — a style that suits the long straight run to the line after the final bend. Most importantly, she is drawn in the single best structural box at 712m at this venue, winning nearly one in three at OR grade. Trainer Hutton at 28% is a reasonable placement record.
Course specialist with two recent 712m wins — the one most likely to beat the pick.
Talented staying dog wasted in the most damaging structural draw at this distance — structural elimination.
Good marathon form but below T3 and T1 on structural draw and course-specific evidence.
One graded race is not enough evidence to prefer her over proven course runners — too thin to recommend.
Marathon ability but poor draw and recent Towcester 712m form below par — others preferred.
T3 dominates at 32.56% from 43 runs — extraordinary structural edge. T6 virtually unwinnable at 2.56% from 39 runs. No model metric reliably predicts winners at 712m OR — trap position is the primary factor.
T1:18.6% T2:14.0% T3:32.6% T4:15.4% T5:9.7% T6:2.6%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 712m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Chasing Larry | 100 | 0 | Fader |
2Fabulous Heka | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Tooreen Rose | 100 | 0 | Fader |
4Unthinkable | 100 | 0 | Fader |
5Underground Navy | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Bombay Nutty | 0 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.