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Jack Cook's Birthday Race
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ La Florb 4y 14 | D L Fretwell — 14% R157 W22 P93 Trainer form — last 3 months | 69 | 51 | - | 31 (2) | 31 (1) | 27 (2) | 25 (5) | 32 (5) | 31 (2) | 30 (3) | 35 (3) | 26 (1) | - | 32 | 25 | 19 | 36 | 30 | 31 | 1 | 7/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Mustang Gracieb 5y 24 | D L Fretwell — 14% R157 W22 P93 Trainer form — last 3 months | 40 | 47 | - | 20 (6) | 24 (4) | 22 (5) | 22 (6) | 25 (5) | 26 (6) | 31 (4) | 34 (3) | 24 (5) | 30 (2) | 22 | 25 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 21 | 4 | 14/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Drumdoit Lyrab 1y 4 | J Andrews — 19% R230 W44 P119 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | 48 | - | 19 (6) | 24 (5) | 36 (1) | 27 (6) | 47 (4) | 44 (5) | 29 (4) | 23 (6) | 36 (5) | - | 21 | 20 | 28 | 25 | 29 | 28 | 2 | 6/5F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Drumdoit Juniperb 1y 4 | J Andrews — 19% R230 W44 P119 Trainer form — last 3 months | 65 | 51 | - | 28 (4) | 32 (2) | 31 (2) | 31 (1) | 30 (1) | 25 (2) | 21 (4) | 23 (2) | 25 (2) | 19 (5) | 46 | 45 | 27 | 49 | 28 | 34 | 3 | 13/8 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Russanda Machod 2y 4 | E T Parker — 22% R169 W38 P99 Trainer form — last 3 months | 51 | 50 | - | 23 (5) | 26 (4) | 32 (1) | 25 (3) | 27 (3) | 22 (4) | 21 (4) | 30 (5) | 21 (1) | - | 20 | 23 | 4 | 22 | 26 | 26 | 5 | 8/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Flor | 16.58 | 16.66 | 16.68 | 51 | +0.10 | Fastest in field | |
| 5 | Drumdoit Juniper | 16.54 | 16.76 | 16.61 | 51 | +0.07 | Top-rated dog | |
| 3 | Drumdoit Lyra | 16.48 | 16.68 | 17.01 | 48 | +0.53 | Best trap, sharp EP | |
| 6 | Russanda Macho | 16.54 | 16.69 | 16.77 | 50 | +0.23 | Worst trap | |
| 2 | Mustang Gracie | 16.49 | 16.77 | 16.94 | 47 | +0.45 | 0 wins from 6 |
The minimum trip at Sheffield is all about a fast break and a clear run to the first bend — there's no time here for a slow starter to make amends. Trap three has been the outstanding box in this grade, winning nearly 27% of races, with trap six the weakest by some margin at 13.3%. Drumdoit Lyra, drawn in that trap three box and with the sharpest early pace of anyone in the field, looks the type to lead and try to hold on, while her kennel-mate Drumdoit Juniper, the top-rated dog on the ratings, is the one best placed to pounce if the pace collapses late.
Sixth last time out but was crowded soon after the break and bumped at halfway, so the finishing position tells you very little about her true form that day. She shows the sharpest early pace of anyone in this field, which is exactly what matters over the minimum trip, and she's drawn in trap three — comfortably the best-performing box in this grade at Sheffield, winning nearly 27% of races. Her trainer wins a strong quarter of races in these conditions. The one with the pace and the draw to get to the front and stay there.
Fourth last time out but slow away and crowded soon after, so there's an excuse for the finishing spot. The top-rated dog in this field on the ratings, with a well-rounded suitability profile across trap, track and distance, and shares the same in-form trainer as the selection. Trap five is only a middling draw in this grade, which is the one thing holding her back. The obvious danger if trap three doesn't have the run of the race.
Placed last time out and has been remarkably consistent without quite getting her head in front, placing in effectively every recent start. Carries the fastest recorded time in this field, which is a real point in her favour over the minimum trip. Trap one is a fair rather than outstanding draw here, and her trainer's win rate in these conditions is on the low side. Consistently involved but needs to find that little extra to turn places into wins.
Fifth last time out having been very slowly away, which over the minimum trip leaves almost no time to recover ground. Trap six is comfortably the weakest draw in this grade at Sheffield, winning barely one in eight races, which compounds the concern. His trainer's win rate in these conditions is reasonable. The draw and the slow-starting tendency both work against him here.
Sixth last time out having led to the second bend before being checked running in, and without a win in her last six starts overall. Trap two is a fair draw in this grade, but her recent form doesn't inspire much confidence and her trainer's win rate in these conditions is on the low side. Shows early speed but hasn't been able to convert it into a winning run recently.
Key insight: Trap three has been comfortably the best-performing box in this grade at nearly 27%, while trap six has managed barely half that — a significant draw edge for the dog in the red-and-white jacket.
T1:19.93% T2:18.31% T3:26.67% T4:19.81% T5:18.28% T6:13.28%
1,343 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 280m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 280m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (280m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 280m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Flor | 0.595 | — |
| 2 | Mustang Gracie | 0.599 | — |
| 3 | Drumdoit Lyra | 0.596 | 0.616 |
| 5 | Drumdoit Juniper | 0.599 | — |
| 6 | Russanda Macho | 0.596 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.