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@owlerton_racing on X Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Drumdoit Dotb 3y 7 | J Andrews — 19% R230 W44 P119 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | 49 | - | 23 (4) | 31 (1) | 25 (2) | 20 (5) | 23 (6) | 23 (5) | 24 (5) | 21 (6) | 32 (6) | 39 (5) | 34 | 35 | 26 | 21 | 24 | 27 | 2 | 4/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Fugazid 4y 18 | J Sharp — 26% R102 W27 P60 Trainer form — last 3 months | 62 | 50 | - | 31 (1) | 22 (2) | 61 (5) | 56 (2) | 44 (3) | 55 (6) | 58 (3) | 52 (3) | - | - | 28 | 30 | 16 | 41 | 27 | 24 | 4 | 6/4F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Airfield Daisyb 2y 33 | P Webster — 17% R93 W16 P35 Trainer form — last 3 months | 73 | - | - | 37 (3) | 47 (5) | 71 (5) | 66 (4) | 55 (1) | 51 (1) | - | - | - | - | 28 | 17 | - | - | 58 | 12 | 1 | 11/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Stouke Lulub 2y 6 | M A P O'donnell — 17% R258 W43 P142 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | 52 | - | 29 (1) | 18 (6) | 20 (5) | 21 (4) | 23 (4) | 27 (2) | 23 (4) | 21 (4) | 21 (5) | - | 14 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 23 | 22 | 5 | 4/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Hollys Jackd 1y 5 | D L Fretwell — 14% R157 W22 P93 Trainer form — last 3 months | 56 | 53 | - | 22 (4) | 25 (3) | 30 (1) | 20 (5) | 23 (2) | 21 (4) | 23 (3) | - | - | - | 17 | 20 | 7 | 20 | 24 | 24 | 3 | 11/4 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Bartlemy Soldierd 3y 37 | P D Sanderson — 10% R153 W16 P63 Trainer form — last 3 months | 67 | 39 | - | 37 (6) | 41 (5) | 44 (4) | 49 (4) | 67 (1) | 61 (2) | 49 (3) | 54 (3) | 51 (4) | 22 (4) | 29 | 26 | 6 | 7 | 47 | 26 | 6 | 7/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Hollys Jack | 16.60 | 16.87 | 16.74 | 53 | +0.14 | Fastest, best trap | |
| 4 | Stouke Lulu | 16.59 | 16.92 | 16.75 | 52 | +0.16 | Steps up grade | |
| 2 | Fugazi | 16.75 | 16.90 | 16.75 | 50 | 0.00 | Worst trap | |
| 1 | Drumdoit Dot | 16.74 | 16.92 | 16.86 | 49 | +0.12 | Top-rated dog | |
| 6 | Bartlemy Soldier | 17.03 | 17.03 | 17.03 | 39 | 0.00 | 500m → 280m | |
| 3 | Airfield Daisy | No 280m form — all previous runs over 500m at A5. Times not comparable. | — | No 280m form | ||||
Over the minimum trip at Sheffield, early speed and the draw decide far more than suitability or raw ratings — there's no time for a slow starter to recover over 280 metres. Trap five has been the standout box in this grade, winning 24.1% of races, with trap two the weakest at 17.1%. Hollys Jack, drawn in that trap five box and the fastest dog in this field on the clock, looks the one to follow. The most interesting runner in the race is Airfield Daisy, who drops in sharply from much stronger 500-metre company with no recorded form at this trip at all — a total unknown who could blow this apart if the class edge translates, or find the sprint too sharp.
Fourth last time out but slow away that day and still only beaten a couple of lengths, with form that's been remarkably consistent across his last seven starts, all of them over this exact course and distance. Carries the fastest recorded time and the best current speed figure of anyone in this field, and he's drawn in trap five, which has been the standout box in this grade at Sheffield, producing almost a quarter of all winners. His trainer's win rate in these conditions is fair. Over the minimum trip, where early speed and the draw decide almost everything, having both factors on your side is a serious statement.
Placed last time out, but that was at a much higher grade over 500 metres — a big step down in class and a completely different trip in one move, with no recorded form at 280 metres to judge her by at all. There is genuine ability in that recent form given the level she's been racing at, but sprinting is an unknown discipline for her and there's no clock to compare. The market will tell the real story here — either the class edge is enough to overcome the unfamiliar trip, or the sharper pace catches her out. One that could go either way but worth respecting given where her recent form has come from.
Won last time out stepping up from the grade below, and every one of her last ten starts has come over course and distance. Carries the second-fastest recorded time in this field and a decent early turn of foot. Trap four is a fair draw in this grade, though her trainer's win rate in these conditions is on the low side. Stepping up in grade off a winning run is a positive sign, and she has the pace to be involved throughout.
Won last time out with a quick break and led throughout, showing she has genuine early pace when things go her way. Most of her recent starts have actually come at the longer trip, so this course-and-distance sample is thin, but the one run she has had here was a victory. Trap two, however, is the weakest draw in this grade at Sheffield, which works against her. Her trainer's win rate in these conditions is solid. Capable of leading again but the draw is a real obstacle.
Fourth last time out and the top-rated dog in this field on the ratings, though her recent form has been modest without threatening to win. Trap one has been one of the weaker draws in this grade at Sheffield, which works against her chance. Her trainer's win rate in these conditions is solid from a reasonable sample. Rated well but the draw and lack of recent bite are both against her.
Sixth last time out over the longer 500-metre trip at a much higher grade — dropping sharply in both distance and class here, with almost no recent experience at this trip. His one sprint outing a couple of months back was respectable but there isn't enough of a sample to lean on. His trainer's win rate in these conditions is fair. The class drop offers some hope but the lack of recent sprint form makes him hard to fully trust.
Key insight: Trap five has been the best-performing box in this grade at nearly one in four winners, and the dog with the fastest recorded time in this field is drawn there — a genuine stacking edge at a trip where speed and draw dominate.
T1:17.46% T2:17.07% T3:21.66% T4:18.79% T5:24.11% T6:20.1%
1,020 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 280m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 280m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (280m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 280m | 500m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Drumdoit Dot | 0.604 | 0.611 | — |
| 2 | Fugazi | 0.603 | 0.598 | — |
| 3 | Airfield Daisy | — | 0.605 | 0.553 |
| 4 | Stouke Lulu | 0.604 | — | — |
| 5 | Hollys Jack | 0.602 | — | — |
| 6 | Bartlemy Soldier | 0.608 | 0.608 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.