| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Lamorna Amazeb 4y 52 | A D Scott — 11% R38 W4 P18 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 4 | 0 | 65 (5) | 62 (5) | 91 (1) | 90 (1) | 68 (4) | 66 (3) | 65 (4) | 70 (3) | 66 (4) | 44 (5) | 36 | 20 | - | - | 71 | 43 | 5 | 11/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Ballycleary Sassb 1y | D D Porter — 17% R547 W93 P295 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 | - | - | - | - | 39 | 4 | 15/8 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Barnagrane Kidd 3y 13 | A Welch — 14% R325 W45 P159 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 100 | 32 (6) | 18 (5) | 24 (2) | 44 (5) | 43 (2) | 71 (3) | 49 (3) | 80 (2) | 83 (1) | 64 (4) | 36 | 14 | - | - | 42 | 45 | 3 | 7/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Choices Miled 1y 16 | J M Liles — 19% R422 W81 P225 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 61 | 100 | 49 (3) | 35 (5) | 34 (5) | 58 (1) | 37 (4) | 55 (1) | 41 (2) | 24 (2) | 19 (4) | 29 (1) | 22 | 29 | - | 26 | 41 | 53 | 1 | 7/4F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Quest Masterd 3y 24 | S L Thompson — 6% R16 W1 P9 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 0 | 39 (3) | 39 (3) | 42 (4) | 50 (2) | 56 (1) | 40 (2) | 44 (4) | 41 (5) | 41 (5) | 31 (6) | 29 | 32 | - | - | 43 | 33 | 2 | 7/2 | - | |
Ballycleary Sass makes her racing debut tonight with no form data to evaluate. Like Fabulous Donna in the D3 earlier, she is a total unknown quantity in a race environment. The trap 2 draw wins 15.9% at B4 460m — actually the weakest among the occupied traps tonight — so the structural case is not strong. The composite score of 39 is assigned by the system rather than derived from real race data. The trainer win rate of 12% at the Porter yard is modest. The model has elevated her as the pick, which in practice means this is a race where the analytical framework is operating with almost no signal. The debutant selection must be taken on pure trust in the model's ability to identify untested potential.
DANGER: Best composite in the race with maximum first-bend pace and established form. The model has chosen the debutant but Choices Mile is the logical form selection. Main threat.
Average performance figure is deeply misleading. Marathon dog in a 460m race. Completely oppose.
Best structural draw in the race. First-bend pace of 100 is exciting. Distance suitability concern is the only caveat. Strong case for place honours.
Capable but unremarkable profile. Outer draw and distance concern limit the case. Place possible.
Trap 3 dominant at B4 460m (33.6%). Trap 2 actually the weakest remaining draw (15.9% — worse than T5's 8.4% position which is vacant tonight). Composite rank 1 struggles (11.8%).
T1:20.6% T2:15.9% T3:33.6% T4:21.5% T5:8.4% T6:18.7%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 460m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Lamorna Amaze | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Ballycleary Sass | — | — | No data |
3Barnagrane Kid | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Choices Mile | 100 | 0 | Fader |
6Quest Master | 100 | 0 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 460m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (460m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 270m | 450m | 460m | 500m | 650m | 712m | 942m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lamorna Amaze | — | — | — | — | — | 0.628 | 0.637 |
| 2 | Ballycleary Sass | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | Barnagrane Kid | 0.630 | 0.714 | 0.609 | — | 0.628 | — | — |
| 4 | Choices Mile | 0.618 | — | 0.608 | — | — | — | — |
| 6 | Quest Master | — | — | — | 0.609 | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.