ARC Standard Trophy
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Aghaburren Bend 2y 14 | B Denby — 20% R260 W51 P146 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 37 | 82 (6) | 97 (2) | 69 (1) | 82 (4) | 94 (2) | 97 (1) | 81 (1) | 85 (3) | 79 (2) | - | 6 | 40 | 26 | 45 | 86 | 67 | 4 | 13/8 | |
| 2 | ▶ Carmac Cashd 2y 12 | E O Driver — 21% R319 W66 P198 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 81 | 100 | 78 (5) | 93 (2) | 46 (1) | 100 (4) | 100 (1) | 77 (1) | 77 (4) | 95 (3) | 73 (1) | - | 89 | 72 | 61 | 55 | 79 | 77 | 1 | 11/10F | |
| 3 | ▶ Pennys Edged 2y 56 | R Short — 18% R132 W24 P61 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 99 | 100 | 39 (5) | 43 (6) | 60 (4) | 84 (1) | 61 (4) | 37 (4) | 93 (1) | 74 (2) | 77 (3) | 76 (2) | 6 | - | 25 | - | 69 | 47 | 3 | 20/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Hardy Buckod 2y 5 | J Gray — 14% R224 W31 P127 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 29 | 38 | 54 (5) | 58 (6) | 19 (5) | 83 (4) | 63 (2) | 94 (2) | 66 (3) | 67 (1) | - | - | 28 | 36 | 25 | 39 | 65 | 54 | 5 | 6/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Peregrine Messid 3y 26 | E O Driver — 21% R319 W66 P198 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 34 | 49 | 60 (5) | 83 (2) | 78 (3) | 58 (6) | 48 (5) | 93 (1) | 72 (6) | 89 (4) | 54 (1) | - | 60 | 43 | - | 40 | 69 | 62 | 2 | 5/1 | |
Carmac Cash is the projected winner based on an exceptional overall profile that combines proven Nottingham form with outstanding physical attributes. His speed of 81, bend rating of 100, and closing style create the ideal combination for a 500-metre race at this venue where the first bend is tight and closers need to navigate it cleanly. The suitability scores are remarkable: track 72, distance 55, trap 89, class 61 — all among the best in the field, confirming this dog has repeatedly performed at Nottingham at this level. His recent form has been trials, posting low figures, but before that he won five in a row including T1 trials that confirmed his fitness. His competitive form at Sheffield last time produced 46 when fourth after trouble at bend 1, which can be excused. Trap 2 wins 18.8% at OR level which is slightly above average, and his individual trap suitability of 89 elevates that significantly. A class closer who should be finishing powerfully when others tire.
A1 winner in the dominant draw — the structural and ability favourite in most interpretations.
Outstanding speed and bend ratings but a Nottingham newcomer — needs to prove the form transfers.
Has shown A1-winning ability but too inconsistent and suitability scores don't support a pick.
A1-quality runner in a draw that produces virtually no winners — the structure is overwhelmingly against.
Extreme inside bias at OR 500m. T1 dominant at 26.0%. T5 and T6 are dead draws. Carmac Cash's suitability is outstanding but recent trials mean Medium confidence.
T1:26.0% T2:18.8% T3:15.9% T4:16.3% T5:2.8% T6:0.0%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Aghaburren Ben | 45 | 87 | Closer |
2Carmac Cash | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Pennys Edge | 100 | 0 | Fader |
4Hardy Bucko | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
5Peregrine Messi | 72 | 0 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.