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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Keepers Nuttyb 2y 16 | D T Smith — 17% R388 W65 P195 Trainer form — last 3 months | 49 | 50 | 54 (4) | 47 (5) | 33 (6) | 67 (1) | 46 (4) | 44 (6) | 15 (5) | 60 (2) | 51 (5) | 9 (6) | 24 | 27 | 8 | 23 | 45 | 41 | 1 | 13/8F | ||
| 2 | ▶ Taffy Sarrugb 2y 10 | M T Field — 22% R232 W51 P124 Trainer form — last 3 months | 46 | 47 | 67 (1) | 45 (5) | 51 (4) | 66 (1) | 61 (1) | 45 (3) | 56 (2) | 42 (3) | 60 (3) | - | 18 | 28 | - | 28 | 52 | 42 | 5 | 6/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Tori Blackb 2y 5 | D T Smith — 17% R388 W65 P195 Trainer form — last 3 months | 54 | 48 | 51 (4) | 51 (4) | 52 (3) | 70 (1) | 49 (4) | 45 (5) | 68 (1) | 17 (3) | 39 (5) | 45 (5) | 28 | 24 | 12 | 24 | 50 | 45 | 4 | 9/2 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Mid Tipp Lucyb 3y 7 | S A Aveline — 13% R70 W9 P32 Trainer form — last 3 months | 54 | 54 | 46 (5) | 67 (1) | 43 (5) | 48 (4) | 39 (3) | 67 (6) | 43 (1) | 53 (5) | 39 (2) | - | 21 | 21 | 31 | 31 | 51 | 46 | 2 | 4/1 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Swift Olympiab 2y 7 | D T Smith — 17% R388 W65 P195 Trainer form — last 3 months | 44 | 40 | 65 (1) | 49 (3) | 33 (6) | 16 (1) | 13 (3) | 15 (6) | 52 (4) | 39 (2) | 53 (4) | - | 2 | 27 | 11 | 37 | 39 | 39 | 6 | 7/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Tee Emgee Flyerd 2y 19 | S W Deakin — 16% R507 W82 P232 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | 59 | 66 (1) | 55 (2) | 42 (6) | 55 (3) | 42 (5) | 53 (3) | 45 (4) | 68 (1) | 50 (4) | 38 (5) | 27 | 23 | - | 31 | 53 | 43 | 3 | 3/1 | ||
Won at A6 last time out in 29.19, clocking one of the faster recent times in this field, and gets the ratings' top billing on the card. Sharp early pace (one of the quickest beginners in the race) should get her clear of the field before the first bend. The step from A6 to A5 is not trivial, but she has been running well above the level needed and the winning habit is there. Trap 4 is a reasonable draw at this distance. The combination of form-high and front-running ability makes her the pick, though the grade rise means the margin for error is smaller than it looks.
Best time of 29.06 at this trip and a previous A5 win — the clearest danger to the pick.
Best structural draw in the race but inconsistent recent form around 29.55-29.85 after crowding trouble.
Back-to-back wins at 29.33 recently but disappointing most recent effort in fifth suggests inconsistency.
Wins at this distance but slowest early pace in the field — unreliable for pace-dependent A5 racing.
Best recent form in the race but drawn in the worst box at this grade — trap 6 wins under 10% at A5 here.
Trap 6 is a structural dead draw at A5 at this track — winning under 10% from 667 runs. Trap 1 leads by a clear margin. The model adds limited value at this grade.
T1:21.1% T6:9.91% (worst)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Keepers Nutty | 33 | 96 | Closer |
2Taffy Sarrug | 67 | 4 | Fader |
3Tori Black | 33 | 100 | Closer |
4Mid Tipp Lucy | 71 | 0 | Fader |
5Swift Olympia | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Tee Emgee Flyer | 75 | 0 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.