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The 2026 TIME Club Derby A4 525 Round 2 Heat 8
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Millies Storyb 2y 35 | - | - | 57 | - | 64 (4) | 55 (5) | 67 (4) | 75 (4) | 34 (6) | 56 (2) | 46 (4) | 51 (3) | - | - | 5 | - | - | - | 58 | 25 | 2 | 4/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Thanks Aoifeb 1y 6 | John Gerard Cronin — 40% R5 W2 P3 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 64 (3) | 58 (3) | 58 (4) | 40 (5) | 45 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 55 | 42 | 5 | 3/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Kosovod 1y 13 | Michael Donnelly — 50% R2 W1 P1 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 84 (1) | 59 (5) | 44 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 | - | 10 | 27 | 65 | 39 | 4 | 5/2 | |
| 4 | ▶ Bright Mustangd 2y 15 | Molly Finn — 0% R2 W0 P2 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | - | 73 (2) | 40 (6) | 53 (6) | 66 (2) | 44 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 18 | 18 | 22 | 56 | 45 | 1 | 6/4 | |
| 5 | ▶ Bobsleigh Baled 2y 33 | - | - | 46 | - | 51 (4) | 43 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 47 | 23 | 6 | 3/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Orchid Champd 1y 4 | - | - | 53 | - | 66 (3) | 50 (3) | 49 (3) | 47 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 54 | 42 | 3 | 4/1 | |
Bright Mustang leads the composite rankings at 45 and is supported by both the perfHeavy and h3FullHybrid models. His form reads 73, 40, 53, 66, 44 — the 73-rated most recent effort is his personal best and represents an improving trajectory from his recent 44. Speed rating of 58 and best time of 29.05 are joint-fastest in the field, confirming genuine pace capability. Track suitability of 18, distance suitability of 22, and class suitability of 18 show modest but positive Limerick 525m affinity. He has been running in A3 and A4 company — no class concern at this level. From trap 4, a neutral middle draw, he should be able to establish his position early without interference and press the pace from the front group. In a low-separation race, the composite leader with the best speed rating and dual model support is the logical selection even on a speculative basis. The inconsistent form record — including a 40 and 44 among his runs — is the primary risk.
Trainer win rate 67% compelling. Most recent run 64 is personal best. Primary danger.
condElite selection with 84-rated peak. Volatile form (59, 44 on either side) limits confidence. Genuine danger.
Class dropper from A2 with 75 peak but declining to 64 most recently. Below-peak speed trend. Speculative.
Only two weak runs, zero suitability, slowest time (29.49). Definite outsider.
Clear declining form trajectory (66 down to 47). Zero suitability. Wide draw. Outsider.
Low separation race — top four within 6 composite points. Bright Mustang has joint-fastest speed (58, best 29.05) and perfHeavy/h3 model backing. Thanks Aoife's 67% trainer win rate is a strong secondary signal.
Individual runner suitability.trap scores used as proxy
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.