The 2026 TIME Club Derby A4 525 Round 2 Heat 9
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Kerryroad Ald 2y 15 | Kevin McLean — 25% R4 W1 P3 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | - | 58 (4) | 51 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5 | - | - | - | 55 | 39 | 6 | 3/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Tipsy Ailbheb 2y 4 | - | - | 60 | - | 85 (1) | 61 (4) | 86 (1) | 51 (6) | 66 (2) | 68 (3) | 68 (4) | 78 (3) | 49 (6) | 94 (1) | 12 | 54 | 40 | 41 | 71 | 57 | 1 | 7/4 | |
| 3 | ▶ Allstar Toryb 1y 6 | - | - | 60 | - | 73 (2) | 55 (5) | 50 (2) | 49 (2) | 64 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | 4 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 59 | 50 | 2 | 3/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Rossa Bellab 2y 13 | - | - | 49 | - | 66 (3) | 57 (4) | 65 (4) | 47 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | - | 60 | 43 | 4 | 4/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Millmount Jackod 2y 26 | - | - | 49 | - | 66 (2) | 47 (6) | 42 (6) | 43 (6) | 70 (2) | 78 (2) | 71 (1) | 47 (4) | - | - | 8 | 30 | 10 | 28 | 57 | 42 | 5 | 9/2 | |
| 6 | ▶ Glideaway Melodyb 2y 12 | - | - | 47 | - | 72 (3) | 69 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 71 | 45 | 3 | 9/4 | |
Tipsy Ailbhe is the standout selection for the Limerick card and one of the strongest picks of the evening. She is backed simultaneously by condElite, perfHeavy, and consensus3 models with a composite score of 57 — 7 clear points ahead of her nearest rival. Her form over five runs reads 85, 61, 86, 51, 66 — two exceptional peaks of 85 and 86 which are truly dominant at A4 level, with the variance in her secondary runs reflecting a dog who has good days and difficult days but an elite ceiling. Her average performance of 71 is the highest in the race. Most critically, her Limerick suitability profile is exceptional across every dimension: track=54 marks her as a dominant track specialist at this venue, distance=41 confirms strong 525m affinity, and class=40 demonstrates she consistently performs at A4 grade. Speed rating of 60 and best time of 28.99 are the fastest in this field. From trap 2 she draws an inside-left position and should be able to set the pace from the front without interference. Even on an off day, she has the class and suitability to see off this field comfortably.
Second composite, matches on speed. Only credible danger if Tipsy Ailbhe is checked or below peak.
Too lightly raced with weak speed. Trainer 50% is positive but insufficient data to trust against class field.
Reliable A4 runner but no Limerick affinity and clear class gap versus Tipsy Ailbhe. Place at best.
Good Limerick suitability but inconsistent form averaging only 54. Not a winning threat today.
Matching average performance (71) but zero suitability, slow speed, wide draw, only two runs. Clear outsider.
Tipsy Ailbhe: track=54 (dominant), distance=41, class=40. Three-model convergence. Fastest time (28.99) and speed rating (60). Strongest pick on the Limerick card tonight.
Individual suitability.trap scores used as proxy
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.