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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Moulton Melanieb 1y 3 | M T Field — 21% R243 W50 P127 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 45 | 46 (6) | 72 (1) | 67 (1) | 63 (1) | 36 (5) | 24 (5) | 20 (6) | 31 (2) | - | - | 4 | 38 | - | 50 | 57 | 46 | 1 | 3/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Porthall Cocob 3y 25 | N M Slowley — 15% R108 W16 P49 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 53 | 49 (5) | 63 (2) | 57 (4) | 56 (3) | 75 (1) | 62 (3) | 48 (4) | 47 (6) | 48 (6) | 60 (3) | 30 | 22 | 20 | 20 | 57 | 42 | 3 | 7/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Last Dance Hoffab 3y 7 | K S Harrison — 18% R372 W68 P208 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 52 | 45 (6) | 72 (1) | 68 (1) | 45 (4) | 49 (5) | 72 (1) | 47 (4) | 70 (1) | 60 (2) | 43 (6) | 31 | 28 | 16 | 40 | 57 | 44 | 6 | 8/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Ohtheresallyb 2y 7 | D T Smith — 16% R415 W68 P200 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 63 | 54 (4) | 44 (6) | 61 (4) | 56 (3) | 75 (1) | 53 (4) | 70 (1) | 33 (5) | 53 (3) | 49 (3) | 10 | 25 | 12 | 21 | 55 | 43 | 4 | 11/4F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Shes Got Styleb 2y 6 | J R Hall — 20% R363 W73 P202 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 48 | 47 (4) | 49 (6) | 72 (2) | 45 (5) | 50 (5) | 48 (5) | 78 (1) | 61 (3) | 45 (5) | - | 29 | 33 | 45 | 25 | 54 | 49 | 2 | 5/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Mr Gaffneyd 1y 15 | G B Ballentine — 16% R120 W19 P67 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 63 | - | 26 (6) | 31 (5) | 31 (5) | 36 (3) | 29 (6) | 41 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | 14 | - | - | - | 26 | 5 | 3/1 | - | |
Moulton Melanie has the most impressive C&D record of any runner in this field — three wins from five attempts at Dunstall Park 480m is a 60% strike rate that is exceptional. A closer by profile, she builds strongly through the race on this galloping circuit. Average performance of 57 is level with the field leaders and speed of 48 is competitive. The obstacle is trap 1, which produces just 15% of A4 480m winners here — the second-worst draw at this grade. The C&D record is a compelling positive but the structural draw penalty is real and consistent. She could win from this box on her day but the trap works against her statistical expectation.
Speed rank 1 among meaningful runners and highest peak performance. Below-average draw and closer profile are risks but she is the main danger.
Plenty of C&D experience but worst-equal structural draw. Competitive without being likely to win tonight.
Best structural draw at this grade, best C&D conversion rate in the field, and equal-best performance level. Speed rank is a caveat but the overall case is clear.
Second-best draw and competitive profile. Genuine place chance and could surprise from trap 4 if form clicks.
Sprint-only form at lower grade. Cannot meaningfully factor in an A4 480m contest. Worst structural draw in the field. Not a serious consideration.
Traps 3 and 4 dominate at A4 480m with 23% and 22% respectively. Traps 1 and 2 are structurally weak at 15% and 14%. Trap 6 worst at 13% — selection in T3 has clear structural edge over most rivals.
T1:15% T2:14% T3:23% T4:22% T5:16% T6:13%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Moulton Melanie | 46 | 75 | Closer |
2Porthall Coco | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Last Dance Hoffa | 52 | 23 | All-Rounder |
4Ohtheresally | 58 | 0 | Fader |
5Shes Got Style | 46 | 93 | Closer |
6Mr Gaffney | — | — | No data |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 270m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Moulton Melanie | 0.615 | 0.610 |
| 2 | Porthall Coco | — | 0.609 |
| 3 | Last Dance Hoffa | — | 0.612 |
| 4 | Ohtheresally | — | 0.612 |
| 5 | Shes Got Style | — | 0.607 |
| 6 | Mr Gaffney | 0.604 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.