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Sunday Roast Lunch at Sunderland Dogs Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Emers Noddyb 2y 25 | D Blackbird — 17% R1084 W182 P585 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 58 (4) | 82 (1) | 71 (3) | 60 (4) | 46 (1) | 30 (4) | 37 (3) | 44 (1) | 37 (1) | 48 (6) | 45 | 40 | - | 53 | 58 | 54 | 1 | 5/2 | |
| 2 | ▶ Beigeb 4y 14 | D Blackbird — 17% R1084 W182 P585 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 19 (5) | 23 (5) | 21 (5) | 28 (6) | 29 (4) | 18 (2) | 32 (6) | 28 (2) | 33 (4) | - | 39 | 34 | 21 | 33 | 33 | 34 | 5 | 7/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Glenbowen Melb 3y 27 | M J Fieldson — 13% R39 W5 P23 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 22 (6) | 28 (6) | 23 (6) | 29 (6) | 42 (1) | 32 (3) | 34 (3) | 37 (2) | 42 (1) | 32 (2) | 43 | 35 | 23 | 37 | 30 | 33 | 6 | 12/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Carrick Rooneyd 3y 13 | C Mcnicholas — 17% R516 W88 P265 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 29 (6) | 26 (4) | 41 (3) | 29 (1) | 33 (5) | 28 (3) | 25 (5) | 30 (5) | 28 (4) | - | 58 | 42 | 25 | 44 | 30 | 36 | 3 | 2/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Get Me Homeb 4y 24 | G A Stark — 19% R275 W53 P145 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 34 (3) | 30 (3) | 36 (2) | 23 (6) | 33 (3) | 39 (1) | 82 (2) | 34 (3) | 38 (2) | 35 (1) | 36 | 31 | 22 | 31 | 36 | 35 | 4 | 10/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Sleepy Baled 4y 14 | P Miller — 17% R501 W87 P263 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | - | 34 (3) | 26 (5) | 41 (1) | 40 (1) | 33 (3) | 36 (3) | 37 (2) | 39 (1) | 34 (4) | 38 (2) | 45 | 47 | 34 | 40 | 39 | 41 | 2 | 7/4F | |
Emers Noddy drops sharply in class from A1 450m to D2 261m following a winning effort on the road at Cradley (1st, "RlsToMid,LedRunUp"). The form line P37→P23→P48→P55→P77 shows recent improvement despite the class jump. His composite score (54) leads the field, but the EP reading of 17 is anomalously low for a sprint specialist, suggesting a Fader profile—he builds momentum rather than dominating early. Rail draw (T1) carries the structural trap advantage (23.76%) but requires clean break execution. Trainer D Blackbird's modest 16% strike rate offers no additional edge. The massive class drop is attractive for punters, but the low EP for a 261m race raises questions about whether he can overcome a likely speed-based early pace.
Speed benchmark + D1 drop + solid suitability = Genuine danger. T6 outside draw and early pace requirement present obstacles. Will challenge strongly but model favours Emers Noddy's rail + composite advantage.
Consistent recent form undermined by severe trap bias and poor suitability scores. Dead draw is decisive.
Capable of running on but lacks the metrics or draw to threaten. Middle trap, middle form.
D1 drop with declining form and last-race trouble. Trap suitability is sole positive; insufficient to challenge in sprint context.
Strong trainer backing cannot overcome the worst suitability profile in the field. Clear-run third is outlier; fundamentals weak.
Sprint race where trap and early pace trump recent form. T1 and T6 structural advantage, T2 severely disadvantaged.
T1 dominant 23.76% (101 runs), T6 strong 21.57% (102). T2 dead 8.94% (123).
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 261m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.