Loading...
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Grouchos Gailb 2y 16 | D Calvert — 17% R568 W94 P330 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 25 (3) | 29 (2) | 21 (4) | 24 (3) | 26 (2) | 21 (5) | 30 (1) | 26 (2) | 22 (3) | 25 (2) | 23 | 22 | 26 | 28 | 25 | 23 | 4 | 13/8F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Skidrow Nellb 1y 24 | A L Steels — 11% R44 W5 P23 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | - | 17 (5) | 20 (4) | 21 (4) | 29 (1) | 24 (2) | 19 (5) | 21 (5) | 25 (2) | 18 (4) | 23 (3) | 30 | 32 | 6 | 26 | 21 | 15 | 5 | 7/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Rapido Ramonab 3yN/R 4 | P J Manley — 22% R59 W13 P42 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 60 | 50 | 27 (2) | 22 (4) | 28 (2) | 24 (3) | 23 (3) | 24 (4) | 26 (3) | 17 (4) | 60 (3) | - | 21 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 26 | 25 | - | - | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Blue As Iceb 3y 5 | L B Pruhs — 16% R139 W22 P83 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 23 | 29 (1) | 23 (3) | 17 (6) | 17 (4) | 36 (5) | 51 (3) | 52 (4) | 25 (3) | 50 (4) | 76 (3) | 34 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 32 | 25 | 3 | 9/4 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Flyhigh Spinnerb 2y 15 | L B Pruhs — 16% R139 W22 P83 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 100 | 21 (3) | 20 (5) | 19 (5) | 19 (5) | 25 (4) | 58 (5) | 45 (1) | 52 (2) | 39 (2) | - | 33 | - | - | - | 29 | 27 | 1 | 9/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Skidrow Breezeb 1y 13 | A L Steels — 11% R44 W5 P23 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 20 (4) | 22 (3) | 26 (3) | 24 (3) | 31 (1) | 20 (5) | 29 (1) | 22 (3) | 22 (4) | 22 (4) | 17 | 32 | 19 | 21 | 24 | 21 | 2 | 2/1 | - | |
The pick of this race on the basis of a 15-point speed rating advantage over the composite leader, combined with the second-best structural draw in D4 grade at this distance. Speed R1 wins 28.7% of D4 races at Doncaster 275m — one of the strongest predictive signals available — and Rapido Ramona leads the speed ratings by a clear margin. Trap 3 wins 26.1% of D4 races here, the second-best remaining structural position. This is an explicit override of the composite R1 (Flyhigh Spinner, trap 5) on the grounds that the speed gap is substantial and the structural draw comparison strongly favours Rapido Ramona (26.1% vs 18.3%). Confidence is Speculative because the 0-from-9 C&D record is a concern, and D4 grade is inherently unpredictable. However, the combined case of speed leadership and structural draw advantage represents the clearest analytical argument in this race.
Best structural draw plus C&D win is compelling but composite R5 rules out selection per Doncaster track profile rules. The main danger if the composite leaders underperform.
Fair draw and mid-field composite. An outsider who needs the principals to disappoint.
Worst structural draw and lower composite. Very hard to recommend in this D4 sprint.
Fair draw and mid-field ratings. Will compete but unlikely to beat the leading pair.
Composite R1 is noted and respected, but 15-point speed disadvantage, worst structural draw, zero distance suitability, and declining form combine to justify override. Still has a chance on composite alone.
Trap 6 dominates D4 at Doncaster 275m with 30.2% from 116 runs. Trap 2 is the worst at 15.2%. Speed R1 wins 28.7% — the fastest dog has a major advantage in this sprint grade. Selection is an override of composite R1 based on 15-point speed advantage and better structural draw.
T1:22.9% T2:15.2% T3:26.1% T4:22.3% T5:18.3% T6:30.2%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 275m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 275m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (275m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 220m | 275m | 388m | 480m | 548m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grouchos Gail | — | 0.648 | — | — | — |
| 2 | Skidrow Nell | — | 0.653 | — | — | — |
| 4 | Blue As Ice | 0.648 | 0.653 | 0.638 | — | 0.636 |
| 5 | Flyhigh Spinner | 0.649 | 0.651 | — | 0.614 | — |
| 6 | Skidrow Breeze | — | 0.647 | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.