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WELCOME TO ROMFORD STAKES
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Scooby Diorb 3y 14 | M E Wiley — 20% R516 W102 P266 Trainer form — last 3 months | 60 | 49 | 49 | 43 (6) | 53 (3) | 50 (4) | 56 (3) | 71 (1) | 48 (5) | 57 (4) | 50 (5) | 65 (2) | 59 (3) | 33 | 42 | 41 | 42 | 54 | 47 | 4 | 11/4 | |
| 2 | ▶ My Agneb 1y 4 | P W Young — 19% R1333 W247 P780 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 47 | 60 (3) | 69 (1) | 61 (3) | 32 (6) | 48 (6) | 57 (4) | 43 (6) | 71 (1) | 44 (5) | 65 (1) | 48 | 59 | - | 55 | 58 | 56 | 3 | 4/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Rosstemple Fredd 3y 5 | D K Hurlock — 19% R938 W176 P514 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 48 | 47 (5) | 46 (5) | 38 (6) | 57 (2) | 43 (6) | 76 (2) | 69 (2) | 54 (3) | 64 (3) | 49 (5) | 45 | 51 | 29 | 51 | 61 | 55 | 2 | 4/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Anything Strangeb 3y 25 | P W Young — 19% R1333 W247 P780 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | 52 | 58 | 30 (4) | 30 (5) | 33 (4) | 41 (1) | 37 (3) | 63 (2) | 52 (4) | 40 (5) | 54 (5) | 55 (5) | 28 | 41 | 30 | 28 | 52 | 43 | 1 | 5/2F | |
| 5 | ▶ Gunmand 2y 35 | D W Lee — 20% R231 W46 P120 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 50 | 55 (3) | 35 (6) | 43 (6) | 52 (4) | 60 (4) | 76 (1) | 73 (1) | 47 (5) | 51 (5) | 38 (6) | 31 | 29 | 6 | 30 | 53 | 43 | 6 | 6/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Bluejig Designerb 2y 6 | P D Burr — 19% R257 W48 P136 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 63 | 52 | 52 (2) | 55 (3) | 48 (4) | 45 (5) | 47 (5) | 58 (3) | 57 (6) | 62 (4) | 46 (2) | - | 23 | 30 | 20 | 35 | 58 | 44 | 5 | 9/2 | |
The thesis here is structural: T4 wins 28% from 275 runs in Romford 400m A4 — nearly double the theoretical average and A4-specific (T4 doesn't dominate other Romford grades). Anything Strange has the best EP in the field (61) and the best bend rating (58), meaning she has exactly the pace profile to exploit T4's racing line advantage into Romford's tight first bend. She'll lead through the bend unchallenged. The massive problem is form: 50→39→51→51→76 — four consecutive poor runs at A3 (4th, 5th, 5th, 5th) before a 76 winning A4. She's been running above her level at A3 where she clearly doesn't belong. Now back at A4 where she won with that 76. Fader profile (CS 15) means she'll tire, but at 400m from T4 on tight Romford, the historical data says T4 holds far more often than it should.
DANGER: Best form horse by a distance with four consecutive strong runs (63-74 range). But T3 is the worst draw in A4 and the Closer profile works against him at Romford. Will be competitive but may find 2nd again.
Minor place chance. Declining form + below-average trap draw = mid-division finish. The 86 consistency keeps him competitive but not winning.
Wildcard. Best CD specialist in the field but the form swings make her impossible to trust. Could win with a 72 performance or finish last with a 42.
ELIMINATE. Worst consistency, worst suitability, clearly outclassed at A4 level based on recent form. The A6 win is irrelevant here.
Place chance. Best speed in the field and a 74 last start show genuine ability, but T6 + Closer + tight Romford = the win path is blocked. Will close into 3rd-4th if the pace collapses.
T4 is MASSIVELY dominant at 28% from 275 runs — nearly double the theoretical 16.67%. This is A4-specific: T4 doesn't dominate other grades at Romford (A6: 19.46%, A2: 18.22%, A1: 14.39%). R1 wins 22.27% from 669 runs which is standard, but the T4 bias is the overriding signal.
T1:17.27% T2:17.25% T3:16.91% T4:28.00% T5:18.41% T6:16.51%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 400m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Scooby Dior | 49 | 49 | All-Rounder |
2My Agne | 49 | 51 | All-Rounder |
3Rosstemple Fred | 50 | 57 | Closer |
4Anything Strange | 61 | 15 | Fader |
5Gunman | 53 | 35 | All-Rounder |
6Bluejig Designer | 50 | 56 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.