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@NewcastleDogs On Twitter Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Whitehills Haydid 1y 7 | R J Buckton — 19% R214 W40 P115 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 32 | 39 | 72 (1) | 35 (5) | 71 (1) | 43 (4) | 34 (6) | 69 (1) | 57 (2) | 43 (2) | 40 (6) | 31 (6) | 21 | 32 | 22 | 23 | 37 | 33 | 6 | 10/11F | |
| 2 | ▶ Solway Barbieb 1y 15 | D Little — 21% R105 W22 P64 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 54 | 46 (5) | 22 (6) | 69 (1) | 32 (5) | 31 (5) | 42 (4) | 34 (5) | 38 (6) | 48 (3) | - | 4 | 20 | - | 14 | 35 | 27 | 5 | 7/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Whitehills Wendyb 1y 4 | R J Buckton — 19% R214 W40 P115 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 54 | 29 (5) | 40 (4) | 34 (5) | 42 (2) | 58 (3) | 28 (5) | 38 (3) | 46 (3) | 45 (2) | 36 (5) | 53 | 38 | 20 | 26 | 38 | 38 | 3 | 20/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Howtimeflysb 2y 26 | D Blackbird — 17% R1087 W183 P588 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 25 | 70 (1) | 56 (2) | 51 (5) | 56 (1) | 40 (4) | 20 (5) | 56 (4) | 55 (3) | 71 (1) | 70 (1) | 36 | 39 | 42 | 39 | 51 | 46 | 4 | 6/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Swift Sandcastleb 1y 7 | M Gray — 17% R58 W10 P28 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 57 | 64 (1) | 36 (6) | 44 (4) | 50 (4) | 42 (5) | 51 (3) | 70 (1) | 43 (5) | 42 (4) | 26 (6) | 2 | 56 | - | 51 | 35 | 35 | 2 | 12/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Chamonixb 3y 15 | S Caile — 14% R186 W26 P95 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 67 | 55 | 43 (4) | 56 (2) | 63 (2) | 46 (5) | 58 (4) | 45 (4) | 57 (3) | 53 (4) | 49 (4) | 59 (2) | 4 | 36 | 22 | 29 | 52 | 42 | 1 | 7/4 | |
Chamonix has been a model of consistency in handicap company, placing regularly and producing honest pace figures across multiple starts. Her speed is far and away the highest in this field — a significant edge in a race where the handicap stagger is designed to equalise ability on paper but cannot fully equalise raw pace. The concern is her fading tendency — she burns early energy and can get caught late — but at 480 metres with Newcastle's long home straight, she may just hold on if she builds enough of an early cushion. The model makes her the pick and the speed edge backs it up.
Match-winning ability when in the mood — the danger if he gets a clear run home.
Limited performer who is unlikely to trouble the principals here.
Consistent underperformer with poor distance record — hard to see a path to victory.
Best trap suitability in the field and solid A8 form — could surprise in handicap company.
Strong suitability scores but recent form is inconclusive — intriguing but unproven.
2,464 runs. HANDICAP RACE — stagger means trap bias from flat racing data is unreliable. Speed rating is the primary differentiator. Chamonix has a substantial speed advantage over the field. Speed rank 1 wins 16.94% from 1,086 runs — essentially random, but raw pace still shapes the race.
T1:22.22% T2:20.05% T3:17.41% T4:12.27% T5:13.11% T6:19.82%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Whitehills Haydi | 36 | 74 | Closer |
2Solway Barbie | 56 | 21 | Fader |
3Whitehills Wendy | 52 | 39 | All-Rounder |
4Howtimeflys | 25 | 91 | Closer |
5Swift Sandcastle | 48 | 61 | Closer |
6Chamonix | 56 | 38 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.