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The Bunty Cahill Memorial A2/A3 525 Stake Round 1 Heat 3
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Desert Stormd 2y 23 | - | - | 31 | - | 52 (4) | 63 (4) | 78 (3) | 77 (1) | 61 (4) | 66 (2) | 49 (6) | 62 (2) | 60 (3) | 65 (2) | 7 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 64 | 30 | 6 | 7/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Carefree Captaind 2y 15 | Bernadette Connolly — 12% R34 W4 P16 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | - | 66 (4) | 88 (1) | 46 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 25 | - | 24 | 68 | 45 | 5 | 5/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Tinahue Papponed 4y 43 | - | - | 54 | - | 64 (6) | 82 (2) | 69 (5) | 72 (4) | 81 (2) | 41 (6) | 97 (1) | 43 (6) | 51 (5) | - | 25 | 25 | - | 40 | 69 | 32 | 3 | 2/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Daring Diamondd 2y 14 | - | - | 53 | - | 49 (6) | 87 (2) | 79 (2) | 100 (1) | 61 (6) | 60 (6) | 98 (1) | 90 (2) | 98 (1) | 41 (6) | - | 65 | - | 53 | 75 | 58 | 2 | 5/4 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Fantasy Adamd 1y 4 | Adam Dunford — 7% R15 W1 P6 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 57 (5) | 41 (5) | 67 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 30 | - | 24 | 55 | 45 | 4 | 5/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Sleedagh Charmd 2y 36 | Dean Harpur — 0% R4 W0 P2 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | - | 62 (3) | 81 (2) | 73 (2) | 77 (3) | 95 (1) | 60 (5) | 68 (4) | 98 (1) | 44 (4) | 40 (5) | 43 | 39 | - | 49 | 72 | 51 | 1 | 4/1 | - | |
The most complete case in this field based on consistent recent evidence. The best speed rating at 57 and an average performance of 72 — the second highest among reliably assessed runners — built from a consistent run of form: 62, 81, 73, 78, 95, 60 (newest to oldest). Five prior runs at this course and distance with two wins, a 40% course and distance strike rate. The career peak of 95 confirms top-level ability and the recent run of 62 after a 550 metre race last time out is entirely reasonable. The one negative is trap 6 at A2, which produces 14.85% of winners — below average — and trainer Dean Harpur at 0% is modest. But when you have the best speed rating, a consistent performance history around 70 to 80, and a 40% course win rate, the case for this runner is the most evidence-based in the race. Speed and proven course form over everything else in an open middle-grade contest.
Main danger — best course record (50% wins), peak 100, but recent poor run at A1 creates uncertainty. Bounce-back danger.
Good draw but low speed. Place chance at best.
One course win, decent peak. Volatile form makes this speculative. Place interest only.
Decent average but no course wins and racing gap. Caution warranted.
Worst trap, lowest performance average. Hard to recommend.
Composite rank 1 wins 26.09% at A2. Trap 1 best at 23.81%, trap 5 worst at 10.58%. Speed rank 1 wins 24.56% from 114 runs.
T1:23.81% T2:15.15% T3:17.65% T4:14.56% T5:10.58% T6:14.85%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 300m | 325m | 330m | 525m | 550m | 575m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Desert Storm | — | 0.557 | 0.557 | 0.565 | — | — |
| 2 | Carefree Captain | — | — | — | 0.562 | — | — |
| 3 | Tinahue Pappone | — | — | — | 0.555 | 0.549 | — |
| 4 | Daring Diamond | 0.559 | — | — | 0.552 | — | — |
| 5 | Fantasy Adam | — | — | — | 0.556 | — | — |
| 6 | Sleedagh Charm | — | — | — | 0.552 | 0.553 | 0.556 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.