The form says this runner is the one to beat. Most recently finished second at AA0 in a 90-rated performance — the best recent run in this field — and the career record contains performances of 99 and 94 that rank among the best ability figures in this race. Average performance of 70 from an established sample of runs. The key question for tonight is the distance: that excellent recent run was at 525 metres, while tonight's race is over 550 metres, a trip this runner has not contested at this track before. However, when a dog has produced a 90-rated run at AA0 level going into a feature race with career peaks of 94 and 99, the form evidence demands respect. The best speed rating in the field at 62 suggests a runner who is quick enough to be involved early and the recent form says fitness is peak. Best speed combined with outstanding recent and career form makes this the pick.