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Arena Racing Company Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ballyhimikin Megb 1y | T C Heilbron — 17% R211 W35 P99 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 | - | - | - | - | 25 | 1 | 5/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Cooga Laylab 1y 17 | S Caile — 17% R194 W33 P100 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 50 | 75 (1) | 47 (5) | 32 (6) | 40 (6) | 54 (4) | 79 (1) | 67 (2) | 58 (2) | 62 (4) | - | 38 | 12 | 21 | 21 | 56 | 44 | 3 | 5/4F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Droopys Reneeb 1y 25 | A Harrison — 21% R537 W111 P320 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 57 | 67 (2) | 48 (3) | 73 (1) | 27 (5) | 37 (1) | 54 (4) | 71 (1) | 53 (4) | 70 (1) | 55 (2) | 37 | 38 | 12 | 40 | 62 | 46 | 2 | 4/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Blackhousereggied 3y 6 | S Ray — 15% R406 W62 P228 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 46 | 72 (1) | 59 (3) | 60 (2) | 61 (3) | 56 (3) | 67 (2) | 62 (2) | 64 (2) | 42 (5) | 47 (4) | 40 | 28 | 19 | 37 | 61 | 49 | 5 | 9/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Alnwick Riverd 3y 27 | A Harrison — 21% R537 W111 P320 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 48 | 62 (3) | 78 (1) | 43 (4) | 61 (4) | 56 (3) | 49 (4) | 50 (6) | 76 (1) | 77 (1) | 63 (2) | 30 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 61 | 45 | 4 | 2/1 | - | |
The H3 model's top-ranked selection for this race, drawing in the second-best structural trap at A4 Newcastle (21.45%). She has no prior form on record — this appears to be her competitive debut or her records are not yet loaded. The model's internal ranking places unknown debutants based on default parameters, which may not reflect her true ability. She is an unknown quantity who could outperform expectations if she has ability from training, but no evidence exists to assess her chances on merit. The trap draw is genuinely good and if she is well-schooled, she could surprise from the front rail.
Four stacking signals on assessable form: best trap, 37.5% CD record, highest performance, sharp early pace. The analytical pick the model ranks second.
XGB model's highest probability selection but prior A4 form at Newcastle was very poor. The A5 win is promising but class rise is the concern.
Consistent A5 form at Newcastle with a recent win. First real A4 test limits confidence. Below the analytical pick on course credentials at this grade.
Solid 30% CD record and recent A4 480m Newcastle winner. Structural trap penalty from T6 is the main negative. Has the form but not the draw.
Traps 3 and 1 dominate A4 480m Newcastle. Droopys Renee (T3) has four stacking signals. Ballyhimikin Meg (T1) is an unknown debutant ranked first by H3 model.
T1:21.45% T2:18.46% T3:21.59% T4:18.7% T5:16.41% T6:17.04%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Ballyhimikin Meg | — | — | No data |
2Cooga Layla | 50 | 47 | All-Rounder |
3Droopys Renee | 61 | 27 | Fader |
4Blackhousereggie | 50 | 53 | All-Rounder |
6Alnwick River | 45 | 77 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 290m | 480m | 525m | 550m | 575m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ballyhimikin Meg | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | Cooga Layla | — | 0.619 | 0.566 | 0.560 | 0.553 |
| 3 | Droopys Renee | 0.597 | 0.616 | — | — | — |
| 4 | Blackhousereggie | — | 0.619 | — | — | — |
| 6 | Alnwick River | — | 0.614 | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.