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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Salacres Cathb 3y 36 | P H Harnden — 18% R387 W70 P220 Trainer form — last 3 months | 24 | 23 | 42 (5) | 49 (4) | 68 (4) | 62 (3) | 52 (4) | 54 (4) | 55 (4) | 54 (4) | 47 (5) | 62 (2) | 35 | 32 | - | - | 54 | 35 | 6 | 6/1 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Ballycowen Lilb 3y 35 | P V Swadden — 21% R101 W21 P53 Trainer form — last 3 months | 60 | 47 | 55 (3) | 93 (1) | 52 (4) | 52 (4) | 46 (5) | 51 (5) | 58 (4) | 59 (5) | 71 (3) | 66 (3) | 29 | 8 | - | 27 | 61 | 26 | 2 | 4/6F | ||
| 3 | ▶ Ivy Hill Maisyb 2y 16 | J M Liles — 19% R429 W82 P226 Trainer form — last 3 months | 61 | 50 | 39 (4) | 64 (5) | 67 (5) | 89 (3) | 96 (2) | 73 (1) | 93 (4) | 71 (1) | 93 (5) | - | 38 | 26 | 26 | 59 | 71 | 49 | 1 | 6/4 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Unknown Captaind 4y 46 | D D Porter — 17% R509 W89 P283 Trainer form — last 3 months | 44 | 43 | 45 (4) | 72 (4) | 72 (3) | 37 (6) | 71 (3) | 93 (1) | 60 (1) | 56 (6) | 69 (3) | 44 (4) | 32 | 17 | - | 16 | 62 | 27 | 5 | 25/1 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Fifis Ladd 3y 26 | D D Porter — 17% R509 W89 P283 Trainer form — last 3 months | 22 | 83 | 59 (2) | 56 (2) | 52 (4) | 68 (5) | 52 (4) | 50 (4) | 72 (1) | 55 (3) | 58 (3) | 59 (3) | 23 | 18 | - | - | 58 | 28 | 4 | 18/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Moredramakirstieb 3y 36 | A Welch — 15% R292 W44 P149 Trainer form — last 3 months | 100 | 100 | 45 (3) | 37 (6) | 39 (6) | 61 (1) | 44 (2) | 46 (5) | 58 (2) | 41 (5) | 35 (6) | 45 (3) | 27 | 24 | - | - | 45 | 26 | 3 | 28/1 | ||
The class pick for this marathon on the basis of proven distance credentials and the strongest form average in the field. Has raced at S1 712-metre level — a grade harder than tonight — which means this is a drop in company. The best performances — P96, P89 and P67 at staying distances — are the foundation of the selection, and while the most recent outing at S1 produced only P39 it was in tougher company. Closer profile that suits the long haul, decent distance suitability score, and the model's top composite rating combine to make her the pick. Trap 3 wins 27.9% at 712 metres all grades. The declining recent form is acknowledged but at marathon trips, class at the distance tends to assert itself.
P93 peak, Closer profile for marathon — exceptional ability but poor trap draw.
Fader without marathon experience from a weak trap — not suited to this test.
Best trap at S2, Closer profile, P94 peak — but volatile form makes her a risk. Each-way interest.
Good current form but Fader at marathon distance with no experience — stamina is the question.
Best speed but Fader from worst trap with no marathon experience — will fade in closing stages.
Very small S2 sample (79 runs). T4 dominant at S2 specifically (35.7%). All-grades 712m: T3 best (27.9%), T5/T6 worst (8.5%/9.2%). Stamina and closing speed are primary factors at this distance.
T1:14.3% T2:12.5% T3:16.7% T4:35.7% T5:18.2% T6:16.7%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 712m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Salacres Cath | 100 | 0 | Fader |
2Ballycowen Lil | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Ivy Hill Maisy | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Unknown Captain | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Fifis Lad | 100 | 0 | Fader |
6Moredramakirstie | 100 | 0 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.