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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Essex Jewelb 4y 36 | E Y Bell — 21% R534 W112 P301 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | - | 22 (6) | 36 (3) | 38 (3) | 37 (2) | 42 (1) | 34 (2) | 35 (2) | 34 (2) | 31 (4) | 32 (4) | 42 | 37 | 23 | 44 | 35 | 37 | 4 | 11/4 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Emers Noddyb 2y 39 | D Blackbird — 17% R1081 W181 P579 Trainer form — last 3 months | 48 | - | 82 (1) | 71 (3) | 60 (4) | 46 (1) | 30 (4) | 37 (3) | 40 (1) | 37 (1) | 48 (6) | 55 (5) | 50 | 41 | - | 68 | 53 | 53 | 2 | 9/2 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Rocky Bay Esked 4y 26 | C Mcnicholas — 17% R529 W88 P270 Trainer form — last 3 months | 48 | - | 31 (5) | 36 (3) | 35 (3) | 31 (4) | 41 (1) | 30 (3) | 34 (2) | 30 (5) | 36 (4) | 28 (5) | 42 | 26 | 18 | 30 | 34 | 34 | 1 | 8/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Milestone Mob 2y 34 | G A Stark — 19% R297 W57 P158 Trainer form — last 3 months | 47 | - | 56 (5) | 69 (4) | 90 (1) | 92 (1) | 33 (4) | 46 (1) | 25 (6) | 34 (4) | 44 (1) | 31 (4) | 24 | 30 | 16 | 22 | 41 | 36 | 3 | 15/8F | ||
| 5 | ▶ Monleek Jakartad 3y 23 | D Blackbird — 17% R1081 W181 P579 Trainer form — last 3 months | 56 | - | 36 (3) | 19 (4) | 39 (2) | 31 (5) | 35 (3) | 27 (6) | 67 (4) | 35 (4) | 34 (4) | 44 (1) | 29 | 27 | 7 | 30 | 35 | 33 | 6 | 6/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Millhill Graceb 3y 7 | G A Stark — 19% R297 W57 P158 Trainer form — last 3 months | 47 | - | 26 (5) | 29 (4) | 37 (3) | 31 (5) | 32 (4) | 46 (1) | 39 (2) | 27 (6) | 45 (1) | 38 (3) | 45 | 43 | 34 | 59 | 39 | 43 | 5 | 7/2 | ||
Rocky Bay Eske draws in the best trap on the card at 27.91% and has consistent D1 experience — six of his last six runs have been at D1 and D2 level. He won at D2 with a 41 and has placed regularly at D1 with efforts of 36 and 35. His overall form is modest in the low 30s which makes him hard to enthuse about on raw ability alone, but the dominant draw gives him a genuine structural advantage in a race where the model cannot meaningfully separate the runners. Trap suitability of 42 confirms he has done well from this position before.
Huge class drop from open company — if raw ability translates to sprint speed, she wins this comfortably.
Consistent at D2 level but the dead draw makes winning from here very difficult.
Capable D1 winner but structurally poor draw limits his chance today.
Best speed in the field and a decent draw but too inconsistent to be reliable.
Best suitability and proven D1 winner but last run was poor — capable on her day but hit and miss.
Composite rankings are INVERTED — rank 2 wins 24.24% vs rank 1 at just 13.16%. Model cannot reliably separate these runners. Trap 3 dominates at 27.91% but from only 43 runs. All samples are small — treat trap bias with caution.
T1:9.76% T2:13.89% T3:27.91% T4:11.32% T5:21.15% T6:19.64%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 261m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.