Stefans Bomb has the strongest recent form in this race with an average performance of 47.8, boosted by a superb 59 rating when winning three starts ago. His second over course and distance last time was a solid effort despite crowding at the first bend, and his consistency across the last five — three top-two finishes — marks him out in a field full of inconsistent types. The draw in trap 4 is slightly below average for this grade but on a fair track like Hove 500m the difference between traps is modest. His experience with six course and distance runs and his form edge should be enough, though the low separation at this grade makes this no certainty.