Jones Engineering A2 525
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Arrigle Outb 2y 15 | James J. Frisby — 33% R3 W1 P2 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 77 (2) | 92 (1) | 74 (3) | 65 (5) | 78 (3) | 85 (2) | 80 (3) | 83 (2) | 71 (2) | 74 (2) | 42 | 51 | 12 | 40 | 78 | 57 | 1 | 6/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Foyle Milod 2y 14 | - | - | 51 | - | 72 (5) | 84 (2) | 84 (2) | 61 (6) | 86 (2) | 77 (3) | 64 (5) | 71 (2) | 92 (1) | 92 (1) | 45 | 56 | 20 | 44 | 77 | 57 | 2 | 2/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Gortkelly Hazardd 3y 13 | - | - | 47 | - | 76 (4) | 67 (5) | 94 (1) | 62 (4) | 54 (6) | 83 (1) | 74 (2) | 62 (4) | 64 (3) | 63 (5) | 5 | 26 | 17 | 21 | 72 | 48 | 3 | 6/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Kilgraney Niked 2y 16 | Thomas Buggy — 33% R12 W4 P8 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 89 (1) | 82 (2) | 63 (4) | 59 (5) | 85 (1) | 59 (5) | 75 (3) | 37 (5) | 75 (3) | 77 (2) | - | 16 | - | 40 | 73 | 53 | 6 | 4/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Sunny Erneb 1y 13 | - | - | 49 | - | 70 (4) | 92 (1) | 83 (1) | 64 (3) | 45 (5) | 61 (3) | 60 (5) | 86 (1) | 65 (4) | 64 (4) | - | 42 | - | 43 | 71 | 53 | 5 | 8/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Old Road Villaind 2y 43 | - | - | 53 | - | 60 (4) | 68 (3) | 77 (2) | 76 (4) | 75 (2) | 90 (1) | 76 (2) | 75 (3) | 89 (2) | 62 (6) | 40 | 55 | 34 | 35 | 73 | 47 | 4 | 5/2 | - | |
Has been racing at A1 and A2 grade and carries the pedigree to be competitive at the top end of tonight's field. The form trajectory reads 79 most recently, then 77, 82, 78, 68, 80 going back — a remarkably consistent dog who rarely dips below 75 and has posted 82 at A1 level. The highest average performance in the field at 78. A recent second at A1 Kilkenny and course form at this very venue gives strong local confidence. Speed rating of 53 is equal first in the field. Trainer James Frisby has a 50% win rate from Kilkenny entries — the most compelling trainer signal on the card and an unmistakable statement of intent. While trap 1 at Kilkenny A2 wins only 13.8% — below the structural average — the combination of highest average performance, co-best speed, course and distance form at this exact grade, and a 50% trainer strike rate creates a powerful multi-signal case. This is a dog who performs consistently at the top level, runs at Kilkenny regularly, and whose trainer has an exceptional record here.
Genuine A2 Kilkenny form and co-best speed, but recent performances are trending downward. A proven course dog who needs a return to earlier form.
Trap 4 is the most powerful structural advantage available at A2 Kilkenny. The two-grade jump from A4 without A2 form is the limiting factor. A structural pick with a class question mark — kept as danger given the dominant trap.
Trap 2 is the worst draw at A2 Kilkenny and form is inconsistent. No pathway to recommendation.
Consistent A2 form but trap 5 is the weakest structural position at this grade. Not recommended.
Strong structural trap and proven A1 Kilkenny form, but recent trend is downward. A potential value play if returning to earlier form, but not reliable enough to pick over Arrigle Out.
Speed rank 1 wins 28.3% at Kilkenny A2 from 46 runs — the strongest predictor. Trap 4 is the structural dominant draw at 26.5%. Traps 2 and 5 are structural dead draws at 7.7% and 7.8%. Trainer signal from James Frisby (50%) is the most reliable non-form signal.
T1:13.8% T2:7.7% T3:16.2% T4:26.5% T5:7.8% T6:21.1%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 525m | 550m | 570m | 575m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arrigle Out | 0.556 | — | — | — |
| 2 | Foyle Milo | 0.558 | — | — | — |
| 3 | Gortkelly Hazard | 0.560 | — | 0.563 | — |
| 4 | Kilgraney Nike | 0.563 | — | — | — |
| 5 | Sunny Erne | 0.560 | — | 0.570 | — |
| 6 | Old Road Villain | 0.557 | 0.551 | — | 0.554 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.