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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Senahel Scorpiond 2y 15 | D E Fradgley — 15% R97 W15 P52 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 31 | - | 68 (2) | 71 (2) | 53 (5) | 66 (2) | 80 (1) | 79 (1) | 22 (5) | 25 (5) | - | - | 13 | 17 | - | - | 23 | 19 | 6 | 9/2 | |
| 2 | ▶ Kanturk Aced 1y 2 | D E Fradgley — 15% R97 W15 P52 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 48 | 68 (5) | 42 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 33 | 85 | - | 50 | 42 | 47 | 5 | 15/8F | |
| 3 | ▶ Ardsallagh Ladyb 2y 6 | T D Coote — 19% R578 W111 P295 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 46 | 63 (4) | 81 (1) | 75 (1) | 62 (3) | 56 (4) | 48 (5) | 76 (1) | 66 (2) | 45 (4) | 50 (5) | 44 | 35 | 28 | 41 | 58 | 50 | 2 | 5/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Lightfoot Rosab 2y 7 | W M Lyons — 19% R1055 W204 P562 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 58 | 42 (5) | 79 (1) | 80 (1) | 49 (6) | 79 (1) | 45 (6) | 66 (3) | 66 (2) | 48 (6) | 59 (4) | 28 | 43 | 20 | 27 | 62 | 49 | 3 | 9/2 | |
| 5 | ▶ Lundhill Alfied 3y 4 | S Oakes — 13% R30 W4 P12 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 64 | 64 (5) | 31 (2) | 67 (3) | 76 (2) | 60 (1) | 48 (3) | 60 (5) | 64 (4) | 45 (3) | - | 28 | 31 | 30 | 9 | 57 | 43 | 4 | 3/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Step The Beatb 3y 23 | W M Lyons — 19% R1055 W204 P562 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 49 | 37 (6) | 61 (4) | 65 (3) | 73 (2) | 56 (5) | 71 (2) | 46 (5) | 75 (1) | 24 (4) | 31 (3) | 44 | 36 | - | 25 | 54 | 47 | 1 | 6/1 | |
The model's choice here, built on exceptional closing speed (65, well clear of field average). Recent form shows a sharp A5 win at P71, but the last two A4 outings (P56, P47) are modest. Trap 6 historically wins just 15.77% at these conditions, and on a downhill 462m circuit that favours early pace, a Closer asking for help from the pacemakers faces a tough ask. The data on closingspeed is elite, but the race structure is against her.
Structural and form advantage over the pick. Trap 3 dominance + recent win + strong trainer + best composite = Strong danger. Could be the pick on form and position alone.
Middle-tier runner. Good pace profile for the track but form and trap position don't make her a standout danger. Plays supporting role.
Fader in a distance that punishes faders. Form inconsistency and poor distance suit make him a non-factor. Likely to weaken badly from third-bend.
Trials contamination makes this unbackable. Only P42 open race (D2) is well below A4 standard. Young, untested, lacking form. Avoid.
Dead trap, poor form, trials issues, class jump. Multiple dealbreakers. Cannot make a case for this runner. Avoid entirely.
LOW SEPARATION across composite ranks (1.6pp). T3 dominates significantly (21.74%, structural edge). T1 severely disadvantaged (11.21%). On downhill 462m track, early pace and bend rating matter — a Closer is structurally at a disadvantage. Step The Beat's closing speed (65) is elite but the race character does not favor late runners. Ardsallagh Lady's T3 position + recent A5 win + strong trainer WR present genuine challenge to Closer pick.
T1: 11.21% (232 runs) | T2: 15% (est) | T3: 21.74% (276 runs - DOMINANT) | T4: 18% (est) | T5: 14.89% (280+ runs) | T6: 15.77%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Senahel Scorpion | — | — | No data |
2Kanturk Ace | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Ardsallagh Lady | 43 | 54 | All-Rounder |
4Lightfoot Rosa | 55 | 46 | Front Runner |
5Lundhill Alfie | 57 | 30 | Fader |
6Step The Beat | 47 | 65 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.