The Greatbet Challenge Trophy - Final
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Droopys Flareb 3y 29 | S R Parker — 38% R60 W23 P41 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 78 | 55 | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 100 (2) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 64 (1) | 100 (1) | 56 | 61 | 68 | 50 | 100 | 65 | 1 | 4/9F | |
| 2 | ▶ Unthinkabled 3y 27 | S A Cahill — 19% R374 W71 P221 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 28 | 3 | 86 (3) | 100 (1) | 70 (4) | 61 (6) | 73 (2) | 87 (2) | 89 (2) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 59 (4) | 40 | 17 | 21 | 23 | 83 | 40 | 6 | 33/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Chasing Larryd 2y 19 | H J Dimmock — 20% R170 W34 P96 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 36 | 50 | 87 (2) | 84 (2) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 88 (3) | 100 (1) | 70 (3) | 72 (3) | 69 (4) | 92 (1) | 39 | 52 | 12 | 60 | 88 | 61 | 4 | 25/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Fabulous Hekab 3y 37 | P Janssens — 25% R57 W14 P41 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 8 | 83 (3) | 90 (2) | 91 (3) | 69 (4) | 82 (2) | 64 (2) | 100 (1) | 69 (6) | 57 (6) | 73 (3) | 35 | 48 | 22 | 25 | 81 | 43 | 5 | 33/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Vhagarb 3y 28 | M A Wallis — 34% R90 W31 P57 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 61 | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 89 (2) | 100 (1) | 82 (3) | 98 (2) | 100 (1) | 84 | 72 | 54 | 50 | 98 | 73 | 2 | 15/8 | |
| 6 | ▶ Bluejig Outlawd 2y 26 | M L Locke — 23% R297 W68 P174 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 66 | 53 | 93 (2) | 91 (3) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 76 (3) | 94 (2) | 100 (1) | 78 (4) | 75 (5) | 31 | 37 | 23 | 36 | 93 | 49 | 3 | 8/1 | |
Droopys Flare is selected despite the structural concern of trap one at this distance in this grade, because the form record demands it. Six consecutive maximum-performance wins, a pace rank that is the strongest in the field, the fastest best time at this trip of any runner in this race, and the highest average performance across the recent record — this is an exceptional staying animal in the form of his life. Two trials ahead of this run both produced wins, confirming the preparation matches the form. Trainer Parker has a striking winning percentage that adds further confidence in the professional environment this dog is being produced from. The trap one concern at 712m OR2 is genuine — the data shows no wins from that position in this grade at this distance from seven attempts — but the sample size is small, and more importantly, the closing runner profile reduces the damage. A dog who does not need to lead from the first bend, but can travel efficiently from wherever position is held and then close relentlessly, is less dependent on the trap than an early-pace runner would be. Droopys Flare can come from off the pace. The form is so dominant that it overrides the structural concern at this odds differential, but it must be acknowledged that this is a tentative call and the trap position introduces genuine risk.
Five consecutive OR2 712m wins, best course suitability, top form rating. The genuine danger — trap five is the one concern holding this from being the selection.
Best draw statistically for this grade and distance. Form is solid but below the level of the dominant runners.
Consistent marathon performer with a recent win, good draw. Slightly outclassed by the top two but the best of the remainder.
Consistent marathon form but outclassed by the dominant runners in this field. Place runner rather than win contender.
Strong marathon form with multiple wins. Trap six limits the case but the form is real — forecast inclusion is merited.
Droopys Flare's six consecutive wins and fastest time are extraordinary credentials. The trap one concern at 712m OR2 is real but partially offset by the closing runner profile, which reduces reliance on first-bend positioning.
The 712m OR2 data is a small sample of 51 runs. Trap two shows the best conversion. Trap one has produced no winners from seven attempts in this specific data — a notable structural concern for an otherwise outstanding dog.
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 712m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Droopys Flare | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Unthinkable | 100 | 0 | Fader |
3Chasing Larry | 100 | 0 | Fader |
4Fabulous Heka | 100 | 0 | Fader |
5Vhagar | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Bluejig Outlaw | 0 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 712m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.