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The Afternoon Continues @Napoleons Casino
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ A Kiss For Luckd 3y 24 | K Hodson — 16% R282 W46 P145 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 37 (3) | 33 (4) | 33 (4) | 39 (2) | 38 (2) | 33 (3) | 39 (2) | 41 (1) | 48 (5) | 77 (1) | 31 | 35 | 28 | 23 | 36 | 29 | 1 | 7/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Hillend Kordab 2y 16 | D T Gomersall — 14% R139 W20 P67 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 92 (1) | 37 (2) | 40 (1) | 40 (1) | 29 (4) | 50 (5) | 66 (3) | 44 (1) | 55 (5) | - | 23 | 44 | 43 | 48 | 37 | 30 | 3 | 7/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Tullymurry Siouxb 1y 6 | L J Stephenson — 22% R238 W52 P147 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 50 (5) | 42 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7 | - | - | - | 46 | 33 | 2 | 5/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Nametab Siriusd 3y 8 | D L Cross — 22% R117 W26 P70 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | - | 30 (4) | 30 (4) | 36 (1) | 25 (4) | 31 (2) | 28 (3) | 31 (1) | 29 (2) | 27 (2) | 25 (3) | 43 | 32 | - | 32 | 30 | 32 | 5 | 28/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Broomballisticd 1y 7 | P Prior — 22% R64 W14 P44 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 41 (1) | 37 (2) | 37 (1) | 30 (3) | 31 (6) | 26 (2) | 29 (6) | 36 (2) | 26 (1) | - | 54 | 48 | 38 | 58 | 34 | 40 | 4 | 11/8F | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A Kiss For Luck | 16.29 | 16.45 | 16.41 | 53 | +0.12 | 0 wins from recent starts | |
| 5 | Broomballistic | 16.33 | 16.57 | 16.33 | 51 | 0.00 | Model pick | |
| 2 | Hillend Korda | 16.41 | 16.51 | 16.41 | 50 | 0.00 | ||
| 4 | Nametab Sirius | 16.57 | 16.63 | 16.58 | 43 | +0.01 | ||
| 3 | Tullymurry Sioux | — | — | — | — | — | trap rehab |
Early speed looks concentrated with Hillend Korda from the blue jacket, and the battle for the front in the run to the first bend could well decide this. A Kiss For Luck, Tullymurry Sioux have shown a tendency to miss the break and will need things to fall right in front of them. If A Kiss For Luck can match Broomballistic through the opening exchanges, the closing stages could easily go either way — but if Broomballistic gets a clear break, the race could be over early.
Coming off a win last time, though the form before that has been mixed. Not far off the fastest in the field. Shows early pace and should be involved from the break. The fastest dog in a sprint — when speed and the ratings agree at this trip, that's about as strong a signal as it gets.
Form has been up and down of late, winning 0 from the last 6. There's a drop in grade here which should help. Trainer K Hodson has a strong record in these conditions, winning close to 23% from 47 runners. The fastest dog in the field by the clock, which matters most at this trip. Has been slow away in recent starts, which leaves little time to recover over this sharp trip. The most dangerous runner in this race on the data — brings a structural edge the top pick doesn't have.
Form has been up and down of late, winning 0 from the last 3. The white jacket has been the least productive draw here, managing only 16% against 23% from the best box. Has been slow away in recent starts, which leaves little time to recover over this sharp trip. Had a stewards-required trial recently — finished 2 from trap 4. Respected by the ratings, though the speed figures suggest it's the tougher ask of the placed contenders.
Form has been up and down of late, winning 1 from the last 6. The black jacket has been the strongest draw at this track, trip and grade, winning close to 23% against just 16% from the weakest box. Trainer D L Cross has a strong record in these conditions, winning close to 25% from 12 runners. Shows early pace and should be involved from the break. Respected by the ratings, though the speed figures suggest it's the tougher ask of the placed contenders.
In fine form, winning 3 of the last 6 starts. Trainer D T Gomersall has a strong record in these conditions, winning close to 27% from 15 runners. Jumps well and sticks to the rail, a handy combination at a track where ground can be lost by dogs forced wide. Has it to do on today's figures, without being without a chance entirely.
Key insight: A total of 1215 runs inform this conditions profile, with no single factor standing out overwhelmingly.
Black strongest at 23%, White weakest at 16%
1,215 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 280m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 280m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (280m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 275m | 280m | 500m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A Kiss For Luck | — | 0.588 | 0.595 | — |
| 2 | Hillend Korda | 0.640 | 0.590 | — | 0.578 |
| 3 | Tullymurry Sioux | — | 0.588 | — | — |
| 4 | Nametab Sirius | — | 0.594 | — | — |
| 5 | Broomballistic | — | 0.592 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.