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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Whisky Empressb 4y 27 | P D Sanderson — 11% R156 W17 P65 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | 49 | 70 (1) | 50 (3) | 35 (4) | 36 (4) | 18 (5) | 51 (3) | 51 (2) | 34 (4) | 43 (3) | 20 (5) | 18 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 42 | 31 | 4 | 14/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Jolly Busy Lizzyb 3y 6 | J Andrews — 19% R229 W43 P116 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 61 | 58 | 52 (4) | 50 (3) | 59 (1) | 55 (2) | 52 (2) | 44 (3) | 49 (4) | 45 (6) | 43 (4) | 18 (5) | 26 | 26 | 20 | 32 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 4/5F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Julies Ownb 4y 18 | L A Taylorson — 16% R257 W41 P145 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | 53 | 37 (3) | 46 (5) | 45 (3) | 43 (5) | 36 (6) | 37 (4) | 33 (6) | 40 (2) | 39 (4) | - | 22 | 21 | 17 | 8 | 40 | 34 | 3 | 18/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Wasted Chanced 4y 14 | M A P O'donnell — 17% R248 W41 P139 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 60 | 50 | 55 (4) | 50 (2) | 41 (4) | 26 (6) | 38 (4) | 46 (5) | 50 (3) | 63 (2) | 48 (3) | 54 (2) | 18 | 21 | 17 | 17 | 44 | 45 | 2 | 7/4 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Canavour Cond 4y 15 | D L Fretwell — 14% R160 W23 P95 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 43 | 20 (5) | 39 (5) | 46 (2) | 65 (2) | 70 (1) | 18 (5) | 20 (3) | 54 (4) | 18 (6) | 48 (5) | 26 | 24 | 14 | 25 | 51 | 40 | 5 | 9/2 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Whisky Empress | 30.46 | 30.90 | 31.04 | 40 | +0.58 | Best trap, 0 wins | |
| 2 | Jolly Busy Lizzy | 30.34 | 30.45 | 30.34 | 61 | 0.00 | Tops speed & composite | |
| 3 | Julies Own | 30.69 | 30.82 | 30.87 | 40 | +0.18 | 0 wins from 10 | |
| 4 | Wasted Chance | 30.31 | 30.58 | 30.31 | 60 | 0.00 | Consistent, no win yet | |
| 6 | Canavour Con | 30.56 | 30.63 | 30.72 | 49 | +0.16 | Best avg performance tie |
A7 is traditionally the toughest grade to call at Sheffield -- dogs here are often in transition, dropping from higher grades or rising from novice company, and the overall rating has been the least reliable factor at this level generally. Tonight, though, the composite and speed rating are unusually well aligned, both sitting in the low-to-mid twenties, so there's less reason to override on pace alone. Trap 1 remains the strongest box at 26.01% from 173 runs, with trap 5 the weakest at 16.08%. Jolly Busy Lizzy is the pace-setter of this six on paper, a fading-type who should be doing her best work before the turn, while Wasted Chance and Canavour Con both rely on a strong finish and will want the race run hard up front.
Leads this field on both speed and the blended composite score, and shares the best average performance rating too. Placed regularly at this course and distance, with a win from eight starts and six further finishes in the first four. Third last time out but with the two headline ratings both pointing her way and a workable draw, she's the pick.
Second-best of this field on both speed and the blended composite score, and a model of consistency at this course and distance -- ten runs without a win, but eight of those in the first three. Runner-up last time out. The strong ratings are matched by a lack of a killer instinct at the line, which is the one query.
Drawn in the best box in this grade at 26.01% from 173 runs, but her own course-and-distance record shows no wins from eight attempts, mostly finishing third or fourth. Third last time out. The draw is doing most of the work in her favour tonight.
The weakest of this six on average performance and without a win from ten runs at this course and distance, generally finishing towards the back. Third last time out but the underlying figures don't inspire much confidence. Others carry stronger claims.
Shares the best average performance rating in the field and finishes strongly from off the pace. One win from seven runs at this course and distance, with regular mid-pack finishes either side. Fifth last time out. A workable each-way threat if the pace up front is strong enough to set it up for her.
Key insight: Unlike the earlier mid-grade races tonight, composite (23.45%) and speed (22.86%) are closely aligned in this A7 grade, so there's less reason to override the top-rated dog on pace alone here.
T1:26.01% T2:21.43% T3:21.25% T4:17.24% T5:16.08% T6:18.94%
1,087 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Whisky Empress | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
2Jolly Busy Lizzy | 62 | 41 | Fader |
3Julies Own | 55 | 40 | Fader |
4Wasted Chance | 50 | 72 | Closer |
6Canavour Con | 47 | 77 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 500m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (500m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 280m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Whisky Empress | 0.608 | 0.617 |
| 2 | Jolly Busy Lizzy | 0.605 | 0.613 |
| 3 | Julies Own | — | 0.620 |
| 4 | Wasted Chance | — | 0.613 |
| 6 | Canavour Con | 0.610 | 0.613 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.