Dropping from A5 where he's been competitive — third in his last three starts against better dogs — and the class advantage at A6 should be significant. Draws the dominant outside box and his explosive early pace means he'll be on the lead within the first fifty metres. The concern is stark — an extreme Fader with a closing speed ratio of just 6 out of 100, meaning he weakens severely through the closing stages. At A5 he's been caught consistently despite leading. But at A6 the class gap may mean he fades from first to first rather than first to third. Won A5 from T5 a month ago when the pace held.