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CORAL THURSDAY NIGHT 515
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Burrows Charmd 3y 27 | J J Heath — 21% R378 W80 P234 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 66 | 51 | 68 (2) | 78 (2) | 77 (2) | 77 (2) | 57 (5) | 69 (4) | 79 (3) | 62 (5) | 96 (1) | 93 (1) | 58 | 23 | 23 | 40 | 74 | 59 | 1 | 8/13F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Hard Done Boyd 3y 32 | J Campbell — 5% R20 W1 P10 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 41 | 63 (2) | 48 (6) | 52 (5) | 75 (3) | 65 (4) | 96 (1) | 95 (1) | 89 (1) | 68 (1) | - | 49 | 15 | 44 | 18 | 68 | 41 | 2 | 22/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Yougo Freddied 3y 46 | S A Cahill — 20% R388 W77 P227 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | 100 | 53 (5) | 70 (3) | 72 (2) | 69 (3) | 100 (1) | 73 (3) | 90 (1) | 70 (3) | 88 (1) | 69 (2) | - | 43 | 27 | - | 72 | 25 | 5 | 25/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Zenith Sultand 3y 34 | R P Rees — 24% R139 W33 P80 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 49 | 90 (1) | 56 (4) | 54 (5) | 78 (2) | 92 (1) | 70 (3) | 76 (2) | 77 (3) | 74 (3) | 71 (3) | 49 | 55 | 48 | - | 74 | 55 | 4 | 7/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Yourselfd 2yN/R 31 | J T Kingsley — 13% R149 W20 P80 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 0 | 0 | 83 (4) | 80 (3) | 94 (2) | 96 (2) | 72 (6) | 86 (4) | 82 (4) | 91 (2) | 74 (4) | 31 (6) | 3 | 17 | 10 | - | 82 | 15 | - | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Jacktavern Chiefd 2y 22 | L E Morrison — 22% R201 W44 P124 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 100 | 88 (1) | 63 (3) | 68 (3) | 75 (3) | 60 (4) | 52 (5) | 50 (6) | 68 (3) | 61 (4) | 94 (1) | 33 | 23 | 19 | - | 69 | 45 | 3 | 5/2 | - | |
Drawn in the golden trap — trap 4 wins 36% at OR 515m here from 25 runs, an extraordinary structural advantage that is almost twice the rate of the next best draw. Won at OR 500m last time out, rated 90, and the form trajectory of 90, 56, 54, 78, 92, 70 shows peaks of 92 and 90 confirming top-class ability at open-race level. Average performance of 74 is among the highest in the field. Two course and distance appearances here without a win, but the 500m and 515m are closely related trips. A Closer with early pace of 52 — will be handy early and able to challenge in the home straight. Trainer Rees at 22% is acceptable. The structural trap advantage of 36% is so far above everything else in this race that it becomes the primary selection factor, and it is backed by a dog in peak form who just won at OR level.
Best form on paper by a clear margin but drawn in the structural dead trap — the class is undeniable but the draw makes it very hard to win.
Model top pick with solid form but Fader profile at 515m leaves it vulnerable to closers — the trap 4 structural draw is more compelling.
Structural dead draw (5%) with weak trainer — can't be supported at these odds regardless of other factors.
Very long absence and no experience at this trip — form from March is hard to rely on.
Solid recent form and decent draw but second choice behind the structurally favoured trap 4 dog.
Trap 4 wins 36% at OR 515m Hove from 25 runs — extraordinary structural dominance. Trap 2 and 5 dead draws at 5% each. Composite model useless here (15%).
T1:17% T2:5% T3:10% T4:36% T5:5% T6:17%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 515m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Burrows Charm | 100 | 0 | Fader |
2Hard Done Boy | 48 | 100 | Closer |
3Yougo Freddie | 0 | 0 | Fader |
4Zenith Sultan | 52 | 100 | Closer |
5Yourself | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Jacktavern Chief | 100 | 0 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 515m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (515m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 476m | 480m | 491m | 500m | 515m | 525m | 664m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Burrows Charm | — | — | 0.588 | 0.589 | 0.586 | — | — |
| 2 | Hard Done Boy | 0.591 | — | — | 0.594 | 0.592 | 0.555 | — |
| 3 | Yougo Freddie | — | — | — | 0.596 | — | — | 0.618 |
| 4 | Zenith Sultan | — | 0.598 | — | 0.586 | 0.592 | — | — |
| 6 | Jacktavern Chief | — | 0.603 | 0.601 | 0.593 | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.