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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 2 | ▶ Outdoor Crackerd 3y 24 | E G Samuels — 16% R640 W105 P358 Trainer form — last 3 months | 54 | 70 | 75 (3) | 75 (3) | 75 (3) | 76 (2) | 100 (5) | 82 (1) | 82 (1) | 81 (2) | - | - | 47 | 45 | 25 | 27 | 79 | 47 | 1 | 6/4F | ||
| 3 | ▶ Pavilion Colleenb 3y 16 | S Knights — 18% R129 W23 P69 Trainer form — last 3 months | 40 | 28 | 64 (4) | 100 (1) | 86 (3) | 78 (4) | 81 (4) | 69 (2) | 74 (3) | 81 (2) | 68 (3) | 87 (1) | 16 | 45 | 17 | 17 | 79 | 38 | 5 | 5/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ New Groundd 2y 23 | J E Craske — 23% R90 W21 P54 Trainer form — last 3 months | 54 | 48 | 75 (4) | 100 (1) | 100 (5) | 96 (1) | 100 (2) | 63 (1) | 65 (5) | 89 (4) | 100 (3) | - | 31 | 45 | 19 | 64 | 88 | 55 | 3 | 7/4 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Crypto Only Mateb 2y 24 | S Knights — 18% R129 W23 P69 Trainer form — last 3 months | 35 | 43 | 50 (6) | 84 (1) | 73 (4) | 82 (3) | 100 (1) | 22 (1) | 100 (1) | 67 (3) | 67 (4) | 64 (4) | 22 | 22 | - | 23 | 74 | 34 | 4 | 14/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Kereight Fraudb 3y 33 | E G Samuels — 16% R640 W105 P358 Trainer form — last 3 months | 58 | 99 | 68 (4) | 58 (4) | 75 (6) | 78 | 62 (3) | 96 (3) | 75 (4) | 100 (1) | - | - | 44 | 43 | 20 | 15 | 74 | 39 | 2 | 10/3 | ||
New Ground is the class act in this field and makes a compelling case despite the worst trap draw at Yarmouth 659m. Two wins at Open Race level over this exact trip — including back-to-back victories with performance ratings of 100 and 96 — confirm she is a genuine staying performer at the highest grade. Dropping from OR to S1 tonight represents a significant class concession in her favour, and the Closer profile is perfectly matched to Yarmouth's long home straight where sustained finishing pace is rewarded. The model ranking has her clear of the field by eight points and the performance advantage is even wider. Trainer J E Craske at 16 percent is workable. The structural negative is trap four, which is the poorest box at Yarmouth 659m historically with only a 14.7% win rate from 95 runs. That disadvantage is real but cannot override the combination of OR staying wins at this venue, a clear class relief, and the textbook Closer profile for the track. Backed at Medium confidence with the trap draw acknowledged.
Genuine staying class from the best trap — the main rival and each-way option if New Ground disappoints.
Outstanding sprint form but wrong profile and no staying evidence — the trip will find her out.
Genuine stayer from the best trap with recent sprint form — interesting each-way option if the price is right.
Will lead early and tire — the pace-setter who sets up the race for the confirmed stayers behind her.
Trap four at Yarmouth 659m is the worst-performing box at 14.7% from 95 runs. New Ground must overcome a structural draw disadvantage, but Open Race staying wins at this venue make the form quality decisive over trap position.
T1:19.2% T2:19.4% T3:21.4% T4:14.7% T5:22.9% T6:17.4%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 659m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
2Outdoor Cracker | 100 | 0 | Fader |
3Pavilion Colleen | 43 | 54 | All-Rounder |
4New Ground | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Crypto Only Mate | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
6Kereight Fraud | 100 | 0 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.