@SunderlandDogs On Twitter Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Nellys Magoob 3y 7 | G Strike — 18% R410 W74 P220 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 59 | 50 (5) | 65 (3) | 82 (1) | 67 (2) | 58 (5) | 56 (5) | 69 (2) | 71 (3) | 81 (1) | 69 (5) | 55 | 37 | 29 | 33 | 70 | 60 | 1 | 7/2 | |
| 2 | ▶ Santiago Gogod 2y 26 | C Jackson — 25% R92 W23 P58 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 46 | 86 (1) | 69 (3) | 35 (6) | 66 (4) | 76 (2) | 74 (3) | 84 (1) | 67 (3) | 61 (4) | 51 (4) | 23 | 31 | - | 31 | 61 | 50 | 4 | 11/4 | |
| 3 | ▶ Joannes Hopeb 2y 7 | M K Bulmer — 20% R238 W47 P133 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 55 (4) | 56 (4) | 63 (4) | 56 (3) | 58 (5) | 60 (3) | 52 (5) | 68 (2) | 52 (3) | 59 (4) | 57 | 35 | - | 40 | 63 | 56 | 5 | 7/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Trevorfootd 2y 17 | M K Bulmer — 20% R238 W47 P133 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 48 | 50 (4) | 62 (5) | 78 (2) | 72 (4) | 66 (4) | 73 (2) | 72 (2) | 64 (4) | 80 (2) | 83 (1) | 37 | 32 | 29 | 32 | 72 | 59 | 3 | 7/4F | |
| 6 | ▶ Allowdale Poppyb 2y 17 | S Linley — 17% R373 W65 P191 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 48 | 48 (5) | 65 (3) | 52 (6) | 68 (3) | 55 (5) | 74 (4) | 89 (1) | 82 (1) | 59 (5) | 69 (3) | 57 | 55 | 23 | 42 | 70 | 63 | 2 | 11/4 | |
Nellys Magoo gets the nod in the feature race of the afternoon. She's been a model of consistency at A2 level with places in her last two starts and a win at A3 before that — the form line is strong and progressive. Drawn on the rail in the structurally dominant trap 1 at 20.4%, she can save ground through Sunderland's difficult bends and use her position to hold off the closers. The fading profile is a concern — she tends to lead and tire slightly — but at A2 level the composite model carries genuine predictive authority with a 23.1% win rate for the top pick. The tiebreaker at Sunderland says that when dogs are close on form, the one with the better bend rating and tighter draw should be preferred, and she ticks both boxes.
Equal on form with exceptional venue suitability and closing speed. The primary danger and could easily reverse the form.
Most consistent form in the field but lacks the structural edge of the pick's draw. Will be placed but winning is harder.
Honest A2 performer with a top trainer but lacks the quality edge to win. Place frame at best.
Unknown quantity from handicap company. The form is hard to read and the recent trip differs significantly.
Strong composite separation at A2 — R1 wins 23.1% vs R3 at 10.7%, a 12.4pp gap that provides genuine predictive power. The model's top pick at A2 has real authority. T1 and T5 are the favoured boxes. The pick draws the dominant T1.
T1:20.4% T2:16.4% T3:18.2% T4:16.9% T5:21.0% T6:18.2%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Nellys Magoo | 57 | 44 | Fader |
2Santiago Gogo | 50 | 36 | All-Rounder |
3Joannes Hope | — | — | No data |
4Trevorfoot | 50 | 56 | Closer |
6Allowdale Poppy | 40 | 77 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.