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Friday Night Winning Deal @ Sunderland Dogs Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Bawn Dawnd 3y 15 | C Mcnicholas — 17% R512 W86 P262 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | 50 | 54 (3) | 62 (2) | 65 (2) | 57 (4) | 64 (2) | 48 (6) | 74 (1) | 61 (3) | 67 (1) | 59 (2) | 23 | 31 | 40 | 37 | 60 | 44 | 2 | 13/8F | ||
| 2 | ▶ Ballinulty Sueb 3y 27 | G Strike — 19% R398 W75 P221 Trainer form — last 3 months | 50 | 46 | 53 (4) | 69 (1) | 64 (2) | 66 (2) | 64 (1) | 42 (4) | 41 (5) | 24 (6) | 55 (4) | 65 (2) | 25 | 29 | 19 | 40 | 57 | 39 | 3 | 6/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Droopys Kendallb 3y 211 | C Mcnicholas — 17% R512 W86 P262 Trainer form — last 3 months | 60 | 57 | 63 (2) | 50 (6) | 43 (6) | 60 (3) | 64 (3) | 87 (1) | 72 (2) | 82 (1) | 59 (4) | 79 (1) | 31 | 25 | 22 | 33 | 62 | 46 | 1 | 5/2 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Nicoles Dancerb 2y 26 | G A Stark — 20% R282 W55 P150 Trainer form — last 3 months | 49 | 45 | 44 (5) | 61 (4) | 52 (3) | 47 (4) | 52 (5) | 49 (5) | 45 (4) | 49 (4) | 79 (3) | - | 23 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 52 | 35 | 5 | 9/2 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Watermill Aurorab 3y 8 | S Linley — 18% R363 W64 P186 Trainer form — last 3 months | 48 | 55 | 68 (1) | 59 (2) | 44 (5) | 51 (3) | 55 (2) | 44 (5) | 45 (6) | 45 (4) | 52 (2) | 52 (2) | 8 | 22 | 14 | 40 | 54 | 40 | 4 | 3/1 | ||
The clear pick in this race and one of the strongest selections on the card. She leads the field on all three available lenses — speed, performance, and bend rating — which is the rare alignment that historically lifts win rates to around 34% at Sunderland 450 metres. On top of that, she's drawn in the best trap at A5 (21.0%). Three wins from ten course and distance runs confirms she handles this track and trip. Her best time of 27.73 is comfortably the quickest in the field, and she has genuine class — peaked at 87 at A2 level and has been racing at A2-A4 before dropping to A5. A Fader who shows early pace and leads into the first bend, and at A5 level she may simply be too sharp for this field to catch even if she weakens in the closing stages. The one they all have to beat.
Won last time and decent C&D — live outsider stepping up in class.
Reliable placer with strong C&D record but lacks the edge to win.
Closer stepping up in class — needs the pace to be strong.
Worst trap, moderate form, poor C&D record — hard to fancy.
Speed R1 23.1%, Bend R1 22.0%. When all lenses agree at Sunderland 450m = ~34% win rate. T3 best (21.0%), T4 worst (15.4%).
T1:19.5%(251) T2:20.4%(284) T3:21.0%(267) T4:15.4%(260) T5:17.9%(273) T6:18.9%(254)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Bawn Dawn | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
2Ballinulty Sue | 41 | 62 | Closer |
3Droopys Kendall | 57 | 41 | Fader |
4Nicoles Dancer | 41 | 59 | Closer |
5Watermill Aurora | 51 | 38 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.