Gets the nod on ratings — field-best average performance of 64 and a speed rating of 51 that ties for the top — but the T5 draw is a genuine concern at Hove where this berth produces just 17.42% of winners at A5. His recent form over 695m at Open Race level — where he posted performances of 78 and 89 — shows a dog operating well above A5 standard, and his youth suggests there's improvement to come. The Closer early pace rating of 0 means he'll be last away, relying entirely on his closing speed to overhaul rivals who get first run from better draws. That's a risky proposition at Hove where positional advantage matters through the bumpy bends. His class advantage is clear but the draw and running style create enough doubt to keep this Tentative — he's the best dog in the race running from the worst position.