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3 WINS IN A ROW - FLYHIGH ERNIE
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Aero Tempob 2yREP 9 | R Taberner — 20% R744 W151 P422 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 73 | 42 (1) | 81 (1) | 74 (2) | 76 (1) | 49 (5) | 59 (4) | 23 (6) | 49 (6) | 78 (1) | 63 (3) | 37 | 46 | 22 | 42 | 60 | 49 | 4 | 9/4JF | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Kick On Archied 2yREP 35 | K Billingham-hine — 18% R622 W113 P352 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 64 | 100 | 61 (3) | 83 (6) | 43 (2) | 77 (6) | 54 (2) | 79 (5) | 61 (2) | 64 (5) | 69 (3) | - | 39 | 15 | - | - | 65 | 53 | 1 | 9/4JF | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Kingoftheroadd 2yREP 15 | J M Walton — 19% R246 W46 P124 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 52 | 61 (3) | 79 (1) | 60 (4) | 67 (2) | 61 (4) | 56 (4) | 57 (4) | 78 (1) | 73 (2) | 74 (1) | 43 | 37 | - | 37 | 66 | 48 | 5 | 5/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Tromora Forced 2yREP 5 | C S Fereday — 17% R469 W82 P228 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 48 | 72 (2) | 34 (4) | 63 (4) | 53 (5) | 71 (3) | 63 (6) | 82 (1) | 62 (3) | 82 (1) | 56 (4) | 43 | 35 | 47 | 34 | 62 | 53 | 3 | 3/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Droopys Jessyb 3y 24 | R Taberner — 20% R744 W151 P422 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 44 | 78 (3) | 79 (1) | 60 (3) | 26 (6) | 66 (2) | 76 (1) | 37 (1) | 73 (1) | 80 (2) | 81 (3) | 25 | 31 | 6 | 53 | 65 | 52 | 2 | 8/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Bang On Mollyb 3yREP 17 | N J Hunt — 19% R371 W69 P202 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 45 | 77 (1) | 64 (3) | 66 (2) | 74 (1) | 50 (4) | 55 (4) | 59 (3) | 62 (3) | 62 (3) | 67 (3) | 9 | 21 | 20 | 32 | 65 | 45 | 6 | 6/1 | - | |
The C&D specialist: two wins at A3 480m Monmore, rated 81 and 74. When the composite signal at A3 Monmore is just 17.75% reliable, course-and-distance wins become the overriding factor. From trap one -- the best draw at 20.83% -- and with early pace of 70 showing he can position himself in the race. Composite 49 is respectable for this context. The last run was a D2 264m sprint win which is a different context, but the A3 480m wins earlier this year are exactly the evidence needed when the predictive models are this noisy.
Danger: composite leader (tied), placed at A3 480m Monmore twice. Trainer WR is a concern. Best alternative if the pick fails.
Composite and speed leader but dist suit zero and long absence are concerns. Would be a pick at a more composite-reliable grade.
Performance R1 but Speed R5 -- in a speed-important grade the pace deficit matters.
Won A4 last time, placed at A3 before -- strong recent form. Composite 52 and Speed R2. Competitive without quite reaching the C&D win evidence.
Worst trap at A3 480m Monmore. Recent A4 win positive but trap is a significant handicap.
Composite unreliable. Trap one best at 20.83%. C&D form overrides composite signal when reliability is this low.
T1:20.83% T2:17.28% T3:18.01% T4:20.0% T5:18.10% T6:14.39%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Aero Tempo | 70 | 0 | Fader |
2Kick On Archie | 100 | 0 | Fader |
3Kingoftheroad | 53 | 42 | All-Rounder |
4Tromora Force | 47 | 58 | Closer |
5Droopys Jessy | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Bang On Molly | 43 | 64 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 264m | 480m | 491m | 500m | 630m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aero Tempo | 0.592 | 0.605 | — | — | — |
| 2 | Kick On Archie | — | — | — | 0.597 | — |
| 3 | Kingoftheroad | — | 0.604 | — | — | — |
| 4 | Tromora Force | 0.597 | 0.603 | — | — | — |
| 5 | Droopys Jessy | 0.602 | 0.603 | — | — | 0.615 |
| 6 | Bang On Molly | — | 0.606 | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.