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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Baby Cupcakesb 3y 28 | S Atkinson — 19% R249 W48 P166 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 50 | 85 (1) | 59 (5) | 69 (2) | 85 (1) | 86 (1) | 65 (3) | 47 (6) | 85 (1) | 65 (3) | 77 (2) | 48 | 32 | 6 | 57 | 73 | 45 | 3 | 7/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Brassneck Usykd 3y 16 | W Sheldon — 27% R26 W7 P19 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 47 | 85 (1) | 67 (3) | 34 (2) | 59 (5) | 88 (1) | 59 (3) | 31 (3) | 33 (3) | 30 (4) | 52 (5) | 35 | 25 | 17 | 45 | 59 | 40 | 5 | 8/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Caseys Hoffad 3y 35 | S Atkinson — 19% R249 W48 P166 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | 45 | 62 (4) | 49 (2) | 47 (3) | 49 (2) | 73 (3) | 41 (2) | 40 (2) | 36 (3) | 98 (1) | 93 (1) | 48 | 35 | 30 | - | 56 | 34 | 4 | 5/4F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Rathdown Maggyb 1y 18 | G A Foot — 21% R297 W62 P170 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 63 | 83 (1) | 63 (2) | 54 (4) | 58 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 16 | 13 | - | 32 | 66 | 46 | 1 | 13/8 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Trimmer Marleyd 2y 27 | G A Foot — 21% R297 W62 P170 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 55 | 65 (4) | 90 (1) | 65 (5) | 72 (2) | 64 (2) | 65 (3) | 45 (4) | 68 (3) | 64 (4) | 59 (3) | 22 | 27 | 25 | 27 | 68 | 38 | 2 | 5/2 | - | |
The undisputed course and distance specialist in this field, with four wins from ten starts at Star Pelaw over 435 metres — a 40% strike rate that dwarfs every rival. All recent form has been at this exact track and grade, winning convincingly at A3 five days ago and placing twice at A2 in the weeks prior. The average performance rating of 73 is the highest in the race and the form peaks at 86. Runs as a Closer and the rail draw suits her style. Despite trap 1 being below the grade average in condition data, no dog in this field comes close to matching her course pedigree. The condition data reveals an unusual pattern where the second-composite-ranked dog wins 32.9% at A2 — Baby Cupcakes holds exactly that rank. Trainer Atkinson sends her back quickly after last week's win, which suggests real confidence.
Best speed and bend in the field with a strong trainer, but the two-grade jump from A4 and zero class suitability at A2 make her a fascinatingdanger rather than banker.
Decent course and distance record but stepping up in grade with moderate form figures — place candidate rather than winner.
Best trap draw but zero distance suitability and a Fader profile on a front-runner track make her very difficult to support.
Consistent A2 runner with high peak form but a frustrating 10% win rate from 10 course and distance starts — drawn in one of the poorest traps for this grade.
Unusual pattern at A2 where composite rank 2 wins 32.9% versus only 18.6% for rank 1. Trap 3 and trap 4 strongly favoured. Sample of 329 runs.
T1:15.2% T2:14.9% T3:27.6% T4:23.3% T5:12.3% T6:9.8%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 435m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Baby Cupcakes | 44 | 56 | Closer |
2Brassneck Usyk | 41 | 58 | Closer |
3Caseys Hoffa | 100 | 0 | Fader |
4Rathdown Maggy | 53 | 50 | All-Rounder |
5Trimmer Marley | 50 | 43 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 435m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (435m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 245m | 335m | 435m | 480m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Baby Cupcakes | — | — | 0.607 | — | — |
| 2 | Brassneck Usyk | 0.610 | — | 0.611 | — | — |
| 3 | Caseys Hoffa | 0.606 | 0.551 | 0.610 | 0.584 | 0.554 |
| 4 | Rathdown Maggy | — | — | 0.609 | — | — |
| 5 | Trimmer Marley | — | — | 0.609 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.