Kilara Berb has the best suitability profile in this race by some margin — track 79, distance 58, and an outstanding trap score of 82 from trap 1 confirms he's ideally suited to this exact race. He won here last time with a cracking 93-rated effort and his bend rating of 91 is the joint-highest in the field. He's a front-runner with sharp early pace who should blast out and take the rail position through the first bend. The fading tendency is a concern over four bends, but his class edge and perfect suitability alignment should give him enough of a buffer. N J Hunt's 18% strike rate is modest but this dog picks himself on the data.