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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Spot On Cheeksb 3y 24 | K Dodington — 15% R119 W18 P61 Trainer form — last 3 months | 91 | 0 | 28 (4) | 10 (6) | 15 (2) | 47 (4) | 47 (2) | 51 (2) | 47 (2) | 56 (1) | 52 (2) | 42 (3) | 22 | - | - | - | 36 | 36 | 1 | 14/1 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Elite Roseb 1y 11 | M J Richards — 16% R160 W25 P82 Trainer form — last 3 months | 39 | 30 | 48 (1) | 43 (1) | 32 (2) | 19 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 21 | 32 | 21 | 41 | 33 | 36 | 6 | 8/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Chisem Tobyd 1y 8 | R J Holloway — 22% R296 W65 P162 Trainer form — last 3 months | 54 | 51 | 40 (3) | 38 (3) | 30 (4) | 33 (4) | 48 (1) | 42 (2) | 47 (1) | 25 (5) | 34 (4) | 29 (5) | 14 | 24 | 31 | 25 | 37 | 40 | 3 | 5/4F | ||
| 4 | ▶ Slippy Donald 2y 28 | M J Richards — 16% R160 W25 P82 Trainer form — last 3 months | 41 | 56 | 46 (1) | 23 (4) | 43 (1) | 24 (2) | 19 (6) | 39 (2) | 28 (4) | 20 (4) | 26 (4) | - | 25 | 23 | 17 | 33 | 28 | 31 | 5 | 5/2 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Chisem Izzieb 1y 4 | R J Holloway — 22% R296 W65 P162 Trainer form — last 3 months | 43 | 50 | 34 (3) | 31 (4) | 38 (4) | 21 (6) | 29 (5) | 47 (1) | 42 (1) | 31 (2) | 22 (5) | 32 (3) | 43 | 29 | 22 | 25 | 33 | 38 | 4 | 8/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Southdowns Roseb 4y 16 | C Gardiner — 21% R354 W76 P202 Trainer form — last 3 months | 56 | 52 | 41 (2) | 40 (2) | 28 (6) | 29 (6) | 36 (4) | 42 (2) | 34 (5) | 36 (2) | 48 (1) | 37 (3) | 21 | 24 | 31 | 26 | 36 | 38 | 2 | 3/1 | ||
The selection on a convergence of evidence. Carries the highest overall rating in this field with a performance average of 37 and the top composite score of 40 — and crucially, trap 3 is the single most productive draw at Hove A10 500m historically, winning 26.19% of races from 84 runs and returning a rare positive profit of +1.91. The composite rank 3 position is particularly interesting given that at this grade level, rank 3 historically outperforms rank 1 (23.29% vs 21.22%). Has raced consistently at A9/A10 level at Hove and brings an all-rounder pace profile that handles the bumpy back straight without drama. The combination of grade familiarity, field-leading ratings, and a statistically favoured trap makes Chisem Toby the most defensible selection in an uncertain race.
Best overall ranking profile — only the wide draw keeps her from favouritism
Trap advantage noted but form line uncertain after prolonged trial period
Closer with best recent form rating but compromised by unfavourable draw statistics
Sphere-changer with weakest performance rating — likely to struggle
Suitability for wide draw is noted, but historical trap stats work against
Trap 3 is statistically the most productive draw at Hove A10 500m. Dogs with A9/A10 course experience outperform grade-droppers and sphere-changers at this level.
Trap 3 leads with 26.19% win rate and a rare positive P&L (+1.91) from 84 runs — the standout trap at this grade. Trap 1 next at 22.92%, then Trap 4 at 19.78%. Wide draws are below 19%.
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Spot On Cheeks | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Elite Rose | 23 | 100 | Closer |
3Chisem Toby | 53 | 36 | All-Rounder |
4Slippy Donal | 56 | 0 | Fader |
5Chisem Izzie | 48 | 47 | All-Rounder |
6Southdowns Rose | 52 | 53 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.