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£10 Summer Winning Deal
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Helicopter Lottyb 3y 16 | S Linley — 18% R363 W64 P186 Trainer form — last 3 months | 48 | 50 | 33 (3) | 30 (3) | 41 (6) | 57 (5) | 55 (5) | 55 (4) | 67 (4) | 74 (3) | 74 (2) | 86 (1) | 37 | 31 | 17 | 21 | 50 | 41 | 4 | 6/1 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Zesty Kiwid 3y 17 | E Y Bell — 21% R516 W109 P289 Trainer form — last 3 months | 57 | 48 | 78 (1) | 65 (2) | 50 (5) | 69 (2) | 63 (3) | 80 (1) | 59 (4) | 54 (4) | 68 (2) | 73 (1) | 41 | 24 | 12 | 47 | 66 | 48 | 1 | 6/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Anglesey Exiled 2yN/R 25 | D Blackbird — 17% R1064 W179 P571 Trainer form — last 3 months | 51 | 50 | 70 (5) | 81 (1) | 69 (2) | 83 (1) | 66 (2) | 11 (6) | 71 (2) | 58 (3) | 36 (4) | - | 21 | 63 | 51 | 59 | 65 | 47 | - | - | ||
| 4 | ▶ Market Loughd 2y 18 | P Miller — 17% R482 W82 P247 Trainer form — last 3 months | 48 | 54 | 78 (1) | 63 (3) | 78 (1) | 72 (1) | 68 (2) | 54 (3) | 56 (4) | 58 (2) | 28 (6) | 67 (2) | 27 | 26 | - | 48 | 66 | 42 | 2 | 7/4 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Stonepark Patsyd 4y 35 | S Linley — 18% R363 W64 P186 Trainer form — last 3 months | 48 | 47 | 61 (4) | 68 (3) | 62 (2) | 67 (3) | 82 (3) | 57 (1) | 62 (4) | 59 (3) | 82 (5) | - | 34 | 31 | 45 | 27 | 66 | 38 | 3 | 6/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Murhur Bolgerd 2y 17 | D Blackbird — 17% R1064 W179 P571 Trainer form — last 3 months | 45 | 52 | 53 (5) | 66 (6) | 60 (2) | 42 (3) | 58 (6) | 42 (5) | 64 (5) | 88 (3) | 41 (1) | - | 22 | 29 | 40 | 22 | 57 | 38 | 5 | 5/4F | ||
The pick on the basis of four aligning factors: avgP 66 (joint-best), last-time A4 win (P78, momentum), three C&D wins from ten (joint-best proven record), and Miller's 28% kennel rate (strongest in the race by a clear margin). The Fader profile means he will press early from T4, which is the second-strongest trap at A3 (19.3%), giving him a structural advantage. His bend rating (54) is the best among the contenders, which is crucial at Sunderland where the first turn shapes the race. The concern is a speed rating (48) that sits nine points behind Zesty Kiwi — but at A3 where the composite model is more predictive, the overall profile matters more than any single metric. He has everything in his favour: form, fitness, trainer, trap, and pace profile. This is a close call in a tight race, but he gets the nod on the balance of factors.
Best speed and joint-best C&D but worst trap and Closer profile create a structural barrier.
Fifteen-point avgP deficit is insurmountable at A3 level. Outclassed.
Highest ceiling in the race but inconsistent form and weak kennel rate keep him behind the pick.
Strong all-round profile with best trap but marginally behind pick and danger on C&D record and kennel rate.
Nine-point avgP deficit and weakest speed make him an also-ran at A3 level.
T5 and T4 are the strongest traps at A3 (19.6% and 19.3%). T2 is weakest at 14.7%. Composite R1 is reasonably predictive at A3 (20.7%), suggesting the rating model works better at higher grades. Very competitive grade where margins are thin.
T1:17.2% T2:14.7% T3:16.8% T4:19.3% T5:19.6% T6:15.1%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Helicopter Lotty | 50 | 55 | Closer |
2Zesty Kiwi | 50 | 58 | Closer |
3Anglesey Exile | 58 | 15 | Fader |
4Market Lough | 56 | 30 | Fader |
5Stonepark Patsy | 50 | 53 | All-Rounder |
6Murhur Bolger | 50 | 47 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.