Derramore Danger gets the nod as the projected winner with the highest composite in the field at 33 and the best suitability profile across track, distance and trap. His early pace of 66 and bend rating of 63 are both excellent — he should be prominent through the early bends from the outside. The fader tag is a concern over four bends, but at this grade his class advantage should carry him through. He won his last course and distance start convincingly and while three of his other four were disappointing, the ability is there when things go right.