| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Debossmand 5y 36 | A Welch — 15% R316 W47 P160 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 39 | 20 (6) | 41 (4) | 44 (5) | 41 (4) | 39 (5) | 40 (6) | 55 (4) | 72 (1) | 68 (1) | 35 (4) | 50 | 40 | 48 | 44 | 57 | 53 | 3 | 5/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Raparee Yuliab 2y 18 | D D Porter — 17% R526 W90 P288 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 60 | 66 (3) | 81 (2) | 81 (1) | 71 (3) | 68 (2) | 64 (2) | 63 (3) | 83 (1) | 81 (1) | 62 (3) | 38 | 44 | 36 | 44 | 57 | 52 | 2 | 8/11F | |
| 3 | ▶ Sonic Blitzen d 2y 8 | S J Rayner — 18% R180 W33 P104 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 46 | 70 (1) | 72 (1) | 43 (5) | 41 (5) | 53 (3) | 72 (1) | 56 (3) | 56 (2) | 67 (1) | 56 (3) | 25 | 46 | - | 47 | 57 | 51 | 4 | 10/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Amka Jaxd 2y 7 | D Jeans — 13% R244 W31 P111 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 62 | 60 (2) | 44 (5) | 64 (2) | 43 (5) | 62 (2) | 48 (4) | 40 (6) | 46 (6) | 65 (2) | 48 (5) | 46 | 49 | 20 | 49 | 58 | 55 | 1 | 10/3 | |
| 5 | ▶ Flitwick Del Boyd 2yN/R 13 | P T Henman — 19% R37 W7 P17 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 38 | 42 | 12 (6) | 25 (3) | 24 (5) | 44 (5) | 49 (6) | 76 (1) | 49 (5) | 76 (1) | 60 (3) | 61 (3) | 23 | 41 | 28 | 32 | 58 | 49 | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Hitthelids Paulod 3y 4 | N J Deas — 17% R450 W76 P247 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 48 | 58 (4) | 80 (1) | 77 (1) | 43 (5) | 72 (1) | 40 (6) | 42 (5) | 65 (2) | 62 (3) | 32 (2) | 31 | 35 | 25 | - | 39 | 37 | 5 | 5/1 | |
Amka Jax emerges as the pick with the best composite score of 55 in the field, the best avgP of 58, and critically the field-best bend rating of 62, which translates to exceptional first-bend advantage at Towcester. His h3 of 83.7 is the strongest in the field and provides high confidence in prediction. He is drawn in T4, which shows the dominant 24.08 percent strike rate for A4 500m at Towcester, an unusual dominance for the four-trap at 500m. His Fader profile (CS 18) is a concern at 500m distance, but his EP of 59 combined with his field-best bend rating means he will get to the first bend with a clear positional advantage. His suitability scores are solid: track 49, distance 49, trap 46, class 20. His recent form shows 2nd A4, 5th A4, 2nd A4, 4th A4, 1st A5, which is recent placings and a win at lower grade, indicating he is capable at A4 level. His speed of 53 is solid. The pick is based on his best composite score, dominant trap placement, and field-best bend rating, which will establish early advantage that he can defend through superior class despite his Fader profile. The Fader concern is real but likely offset by his bend advantage and the dominant T4 trap bias in his favour. At 500m against four Closers and one other Fader, his early advantage may prove decisive.
Danger: form momentum two consecutive wins, Closer at 500m
Best speed and bend but Fader (CS 34) means fade in closing stages
Two wins recent but weak trap suit 25, average speed-bend limits edge
Capable 76 perf but slowest speed 38, boom-bust pattern (two 76 perfs then 5-5-5)
Zero distance suitability, avgP 39 lowest, sprinter at wrong trip
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Debossman | 39 | 86 | Closer |
2Raparee Yulia | 60 | 34 | Fader |
3Sonic Blitzen | 46 | 52 | All-Rounder |
4Amka Jax | 59 | 18 | Fader |
5Flitwick Del Boy | 53 | 48 | All-Rounder |
6Hitthelids Paulo | 47 | 65 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.