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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Savana Sparkyd 2y 15 | B G Backhurst — 17% R223 W37 P122 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 0 | 0 | 49 (2) | 49 (3) | 66 (2) | 53 (3) | 29 (6) | 52 (2) | 13 (3) | 51 (5) | 44 (4) | 40 (2) | 31 | 20 | - | - | 50 | 41 | 2 | 7/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Distant Survivorb 5y 26 | D O Pearce — 21% R143 W30 P86 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 100 | 100 | 45 (3) | 52 (2) | 47 (2) | 31 (5) | 42 (3) | 35 (5) | 55 (2) | 46 (4) | 56 (1) | 58 (1) | 31 | 16 | - | - | 54 | 43 | 4 | 9/4 | |
| 3 | ▶ Savana Maggiemayb 2y 12 | T J Nevin — 17% R443 W77 P216 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 0 | 0 | 52 (2) | 42 (4) | 15 (3) | 16 (2) | 14 (4) | 10 (5) | 47 (2) | 41 (4) | 30 (6) | 37 (4) | 20 | 12 | - | - | 50 | 38 | 6 | 11/10F | |
| 4 | ▶ Havana Shirlieb 2y 36 | B G Backhurst — 17% R223 W37 P122 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 0 | 0 | 56 (1) | 50 (2) | 55 (3) | 41 (3) | 52 (2) | 51 (2) | 38 (5) | 55 (4) | 49 (3) | 58 (1) | 42 | 29 | - | - | 58 | 50 | 1 | 5/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Savana Shadyd 3y 13 | T J Nevin — 17% R443 W77 P216 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 100 | 100 | 28 (1) | 11 (6) | 11 (6) | 33 (4) | 32 (4) | 22 (6) | 52 (1) | 40 (4) | 40 (5) | 43 (4) | 25 | 18 | - | - | 47 | 38 | 5 | 20/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Springwood Juneb 3y 25 | D O Pearce — 21% R143 W30 P86 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 100 | 100 | 48 (4) | 45 (5) | 47 (2) | 47 (3) | 41 (5) | 46 (3) | 56 (1) | 56 (1) | 45 (3) | 61 (1) | 28 | 22 | - | - | 58 | 46 | 3 | 7/2 | |
The ONLY dog with recent S3 650m graded form — placed 3rd at S3 from T4. This is the most direct CD form possible for today's race. Also placed 2nd at A8 450m from T4 and 3rd from T5 — showing competitiveness across distances. SuitTrap 42 is field-best confirming strong T4-specific form. All-Rounder (EP 50, CS 50) means she paces herself through the 650m — crucially, she doesn't fade (CS 50 = maintaining). At 650m, the ability to maintain pace while Faders collapse is the winning formula. The 3rd at S3 from T4 tells us she handles the distance, the grade, and the draw — the three unknowns that eliminate most of the field.
DANGER: The only other dog with 650m experience. S2 5th from T1 is respectable (harder grade than today). Rail draw compounds over the longer distance. If T4 doesn't handle today's race, T1 is the experience-based fallback.
Impressive 450m numbers but 650m is a different race. No staying experience and CS 50 isn't enough closing speed for a staying trip. Likely fades in the final 200m. 3rd-5th.
The theoretical staying profile (CS 100) is compelling but zero distance form and poor 450m results make this a complete unknown. Could close spectacularly or finish tailed off. Too risky for the pick.
Can be confidently opposed at 650m. CS 0 Fader at the extreme staying distance is the most severe structural mismatch possible. Will lead impressively then finish last.
Can be confidently opposed at 650m. Same structural problem as T5 — CS 0 Fader at extreme staying distance from the widest draw. Will lead then collapse. 5th-6th.
Only T4 and T1 have 650m experience. T4 placed 3rd at S3 from T4 — the most direct form. Two EP 100/CS 0 extreme Faders (T5, T6) will lead then collapse. At 650m, pace numbers from 450m are misleading.
Oxford 650m extreme staying. Closers thrive, Faders die. Distance experience is critical — most dogs have never run 650m.
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 650m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Savana Sparky | 50 | 55 | Closer |
2Distant Survivor | 36 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Savana Maggiemay | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Havana Shirlie | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
5Savana Shady | 100 | 0 | Fader |
6Springwood June | 100 | 0 | Fader |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.