Carries far and away the highest performance rating in this field at 47, more than 19 points clear of the nearest rival, and leads on raw speed too at 56. The case against her is equally stark: she holds the worst first-bend rating in the race and breaks from trap one, which wins only 17.76% of D4 races at Doncaster 275m. In a sprint that is effectively decided in the first 100 metres, being last out of the bend is a severe disadvantage. She is also a complete newcomer to this track and distance — suitability readings of zero on both — so there is genuine uncertainty about how she translates to these conditions. The performance lead is too significant to dismiss entirely, but this is purely a quality-over-draw selection in tentative territory.