The model's top selection, combining a strong average performance of 67 with the second-best structural draw — trap 1 wins 20.2% at A3 from 535 runs. His composite score leads the field in the model's assessment. A Closer pace profile on a 46% all-the-way track creates some tension — he will need to travel in a handy enough position from the inside draw to benefit from any fading front runners. But the inside draw at Star Pelaw gives him a clean line into the first bend and the strong form average suggests he is performing at a high level consistently. The model's assessment is that his overall metrics edge out the alternatives despite the pace profile consideration.