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Pick 4 Starts Here
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Mistley Memoryb 2yREP 7 | P Webster — 16% R92 W15 P45 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 55 | 51 (3) | 34 (5) | 45 (5) | 36 (5) | 47 (3) | 36 (5) | 41 (3) | 46 (2) | 41 (5) | 49 (2) | 18 | 21 | 34 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 1 | 9/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Carpe Diemd 2yREP 6 | E T Parker — 21% R208 W43 P123 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 37 | 70 (1) | 56 (4) | 33 (6) | 32 (6) | 45 (4) | 71 (1) | 22 (3) | 22 (4) | 19 (5) | 26 (2) | 14 | 20 | - | 25 | 45 | 41 | 3 | 5/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Jolly Busy Lizzyb 3yREP 16 | J Andrews — 20% R238 W48 P130 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 55 | 49 (4) | 45 (6) | 43 (4) | 18 (5) | 24 (3) | 23 (3) | 21 (3) | 29 (1) | 23 (4) | 44 (4) | 30 | 24 | 11 | 19 | 35 | 35 | 4 | 3/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ When Its Overb 1yREP 3 | T Bedford — 20% R102 W20 P55 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 40 | 59 (2) | 46 (3) | 44 (3) | 32 (6) | 37 (5) | 34 (4) | 38 (4) | 27 (6) | 47 (4) | 40 (4) | 2 | 6 | - | 10 | 43 | 41 | 5 | 15/8F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Veronicasfantasyb 4yREP 23 | T Bedford — 20% R102 W20 P55 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 48 | 41 (5) | 37 (5) | 37 (5) | 57 (3) | 48 (2) | 69 (1) | 70 (1) | 28 (1) | 57 (2) | 53 (3) | 26 | 23 | 3 | 24 | 47 | 38 | 6 | 16/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Colrose Flyerb 3yREP 16 | A R Upton — 19% R97 W18 P58 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 56 | 36 (6) | 41 (4) | 37 (4) | 44 (3) | 49 (3) | 47 (2) | 50 (3) | 59 (1) | 71 (1) | 55 (1) | 35 | 26 | 22 | 21 | 45 | 44 | 2 | 6/1 | - | |
The composite rank leader in this race and trained by T D Coote whose 30% win rate is the highest of any trainer in this field — a combination of model support and trainer quality that gives genuine confidence. Won at A5 Sheffield 500m last week with a 72-rated performance and arrives stepping up to A4 on the back of a series of improving runs at this track and distance: three wins from ten here including two in recent months at A5 and A6 level. A Fader with early pace who will be competitive for the lead alongside Lowgate Jack, and at 500m on Sheffield's fair galloping layout she has time to recover if she drops in behind early. The trap 5 draw wins only 16.53% here which is a structural negative, but at the longer 500m distance the trap penalty is notably lower than at 480m and trainer Coote doesn't typically misplace his runners. An improving dog being stepped up in grade by a trainer who delivers results.
Pace leader with best bend rating in the field. Consistent A4 form at this track and distance makes him the main threat to the selection.
Best trap but worst composite and absent since February. The draw helps but the form angle is the wrong way.
Good course record but mainly in handicaps, and slowest speed rating in the field. Should run her race but others look stronger.
Won at A5 last week but previously struggled at A4. The step up in grade could catch her out again.
Best speed rating in the field but worst structural trap position. Consistent but winless too often from trap 6 at Sheffield 500m.
Trap 1 leads at 20.75% from 294 runs. Trap 6 is the worst box at 15.12% from 344 runs — a large, reliable sample showing the outside draw is a genuine disadvantage even at 500m. Composite rank 1 wins 21.98% from 769 runs — a meaningful signal at A4 grade.
T1:20.8% T2:17.8% T3:19.3% T4:19.8% T5:16.5% T6:15.1%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Mistley Memory | 52 | 39 | All-Rounder |
2Carpe Diem | 38 | 83 | Closer |
3Jolly Busy Lizzy | 56 | 35 | Fader |
4When Its Over | 40 | 74 | Closer |
5Veronicasfantasy | 49 | 43 | All-Rounder |
6Colrose Flyer | 51 | 57 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 500m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (500m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 280m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mistley Memory | — | 0.613 |
| 2 | Carpe Diem | 0.605 | 0.615 |
| 3 | Jolly Busy Lizzy | 0.604 | 0.616 |
| 4 | When Its Over | — | 0.614 |
| 5 | Veronicasfantasy | 0.605 | 0.616 |
| 6 | Colrose Flyer | — | 0.611 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.