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Homing Dogs With Home Run Hounds Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Blackfriars Buzzb 2y 16 | J Daly — 19% R233 W44 P125 Trainer form — last 3 months | 46 | 56 | 61 (4) | 67 (4) | 58 (4) | 81 (1) | 44 (5) | 71 (4) | 61 (5) | 59 (4) | 54 (6) | 66 (5) | 29 | 30 | 10 | 20 | 65 | 47 | 3 | 9/2 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Aghaburren Lewisd 3y 27 | B Denby — 20% R252 W51 P140 Trainer form — last 3 months | 55 | 56 | 66 (4) | 73 (2) | 65 (4) | 65 (5) | 44 (5) | 54 (6) | 88 (5) | 87 (1) | 81 (1) | - | 43 | 44 | 38 | 35 | 67 | 51 | 1 | 9/2 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Monbeg Bellab 2y 19 | S J Spillane — 14% R106 W15 P58 Trainer form — last 3 months | 44 | 55 | 69 (2) | 68 (2) | 81 (1) | 58 (5) | 41 (6) | 60 (4) | 68 (4) | 81 (1) | 44 (6) | 83 (1) | 28 | 41 | 10 | 41 | 65 | 47 | 4 | 10/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Bobsleigh Actd 1y 16 | J Daly — 19% R233 W44 P125 Trainer form — last 3 months | 50 | 37 | 67 (4) | 83 (1) | 63 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 31 | 15 | - | 27 | 74 | 52 | 6 | 3/1 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Optic Helmetd 2y 37 | B Denby — 20% R252 W51 P140 Trainer form — last 3 months | 67 | 38 | 63 (5) | 100 (1) | 70 (3) | 65 (3) | 60 (5) | 57 (4) | 53 (5) | 81 (2) | 79 (3) | 88 (1) | 23 | 30 | 12 | 20 | 72 | 56 | 2 | 13/8F | ||
| 6 | ▶ Dynamite Blueb 3y 15 | S J Spillane — 14% R106 W15 P58 Trainer form — last 3 months | 46 | 51 | 23 (5) | 82 (1) | 29 (5) | 35 (2) | 60 (2) | 77 (1) | 60 (3) | 73 (2) | 63 (4) | 53 (6) | 41 | 32 | - | 46 | 57 | 46 | 5 | 9/2 | ||
Aghaburren Lewis commands the strongest structural position in the race from T2 — the best draw in this grade at 20.8% — and backs it up with the best credentials in the field. A 35% win rate and 50% place rate across a substantial career sample speaks to genuine class, while 20 Nottingham runs at a 44% track-win percentage demonstrates specific affinity with this course. The field-speed rating of 55 is the highest among the established runners, and the best time of 30.22 leads the field. The recent form (P66→P73→P65→P65) is admirably consistent for this grade — no dramatic spikes but no alarming dips either, the hallmark of a reliable A2 performer. That P73 second three weeks ago proves the ability is there; from the ideal draw, a bold front-running display looks likely.
Elite track affinity, recent high-performance run, and enough early pace to challenge. Primary danger to the pick — closely matched on nearly every metric.
Moderate draw offset by below-average field speed. Not a pick or danger at current level without stronger pace metrics.
Grade-rise question mark and tiny career sample from worst draw at this grade. Potential interest in coming weeks if form confirms, but not tonight.
Elite stayer form that doesn't reliably transfer to 500m A2 pace conditions. Draw is also a limiting factor. One to monitor at longer trips.
Volatile form, structural liability draw, and grade rise combine to make this an outsider despite the recent win. A3 class looks more appropriate.
T2 is the dominant trap at A2 level (20.8%), nearly 6 points clear of worst draw T4. Composite R1 meaningful at 21.2% — form ratings carry predictive weight at this grade.
T1:17.7% T2:20.8% T3:19.8% T4:14.6% T5:19.5% T6:15.6%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Blackfriars Buzz | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Aghaburren Lewis | 93 | 0 | Fader |
3Monbeg Bella | 56 | 28 | Fader |
4Bobsleigh Act | 44 | 72 | Closer |
5Optic Helmet | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Dynamite Blue | 56 | 27 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.