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PricedUp.Bet Derby Plate - Semi Final 2
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ballymac Daved 2y 29 | E O Driver — 21% R312 W64 P192 Trainer form — last 3 months | 51 | 47 | 83 (2) | 71 (4) | 69 (2) | 89 (1) | 62 (5) | 77 (2) | - | - | - | - | 24 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 76 | 50 | 4 | 5/1 | ||
| 2 | ▶ The Other Chiefd 2y 15 | M L Locke — 22% R286 W63 P167 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | 47 | 86 (2) | 58 (2) | 73 (4) | 81 (2) | 74 (3) | 93 (4) | 66 (1) | 73 (4) | 94 (4) | - | 47 | 38 | 29 | 38 | 76 | 56 | 3 | 10/3 | ||
| 3 | ▶ No Better Feelind 3y 25 | E O Driver — 21% R312 W64 P192 Trainer form — last 3 months | 46 | 37 | 95 (1) | 65 (4) | 74 (3) | 82 (2) | 75 (2) | 89 (1) | 92 (1) | 97 (1) | 60 (5) | 48 (4) | 57 | 45 | 35 | 65 | 80 | 53 | 6 | 11/4 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Ballymac Blancod 3y 15 | M L Locke — 22% R286 W63 P167 Trainer form — last 3 months | 54 | 49 | 80 (2) | 58 (5) | 79 (2) | 63 (4) | 75 (2) | 82 (2) | 94 (1) | 86 (2) | 60 (2) | - | 26 | 29 | 42 | 37 | 74 | 55 | 1 | 4/1 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Droopys Traded 2y 27 | C R Morris — 28% R246 W69 P165 Trainer form — last 3 months | 49 | 66 | 94 (1) | 77 (2) | 74 (4) | 59 (4) | 76 (2) | 93 (1) | 64 (1) | 76 (5) | 61 (3) | - | 1 | 48 | 25 | 42 | 77 | 50 | 2 | 5/2F | ||
| 6 | ▶ Bubbly Chargerd 3y 17 | P W Young — 18% R1293 W239 P759 Trainer form — last 3 months | 45 | 55 | 73 (4) | 87 (2) | 64 (3) | 56 (5) | 54 (4) | 45 (4) | 53 (6) | 94 (1) | 69 (2) | - | 1 | 31 | 19 | 20 | 67 | 46 | 5 | 10/1 | ||
A nuanced selection that prioritises the structural data over raw form. His first-bend rating of 66 leads the field, and at OR grade this single metric delivers 34.5% — comfortably the most powerful predictive signal at this configuration, outperforming composite R1 (20.7%) by 14 percentage points. His Fader profile off strong 73 early pace means he should arrive at the bend first despite the wider trap five draw, and from there it becomes a test of stamina up Towcester's demanding hill. Performance average of 77 and composite of 50 are modest — this isn't the best dog on paper — but the methodology demands following the strongest statistical signal, and bend R1 in OR company is precisely that. Distance suitability at 42 and the Morris kennel at 32% add supporting layers. A tentative pick that acknowledges the quality gap to **The Other Chief** but backs the structural advantage.
Best form dog from a strong draw — the clear danger but bend R1 signal edges him out as the pick.
Best draw helps but mid-range form means he'll likely lead early and get caught.
Best suitability and quickest time but lethal draw and closing style combination.
Solid composite but wrong running style to hold off closers at this trip — pace-setter material.
Worst draw, worst form, worst pace — the field filler on the evening card.
Just 6 points separating top four on composite — genuinely open. In OR grade bend R1 (34.5%) is the strongest single signal. Droopys Trade holds bend R1 at 66.
T1:32.3% T2:26.7% T3:11.1% T4:12.5% T5:16.7% T6:10.0%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Ballymac Dave | 77 | 0 | Fader |
2The Other Chief | 42 | 67 | Closer |
3No Better Feelin | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Ballymac Blanco | 58 | 33 | Fader |
5Droopys Trade | 73 | 0 | Fader |
6Bubbly Charger | 2 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.