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@NewcastleDogs On Twitter Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Swing Ashlyb 2y 36 | P Singlewood — 20% R126 W25 P69 Trainer form — last 3 months | 58 | 44 | 52 (5) | 58 (4) | 62 (3) | 68 (2) | 62 (4) | 70 (4) | 83 (1) | 57 (5) | 25 (1) | 51 (5) | 28 | 20 | - | 12 | 60 | 30 | 1 | 9/4JF | ||
| 2 | ▶ Richies Richied 4y 35 | J J Fenwick — 19% R491 W95 P280 Trainer form — last 3 months | 1 | 51 | 16 (5) | 52 (4) | 76 (1) | 62 (2) | 76 (1) | 46 (6) | 55 (5) | 38 (6) | 43 (6) | 64 (3) | 24 | 28 | - | - | 51 | 32 | 3 | 4/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Droopys Reneeb 1y 28 | A Harrison — 20% R497 W97 P297 Trainer form — last 3 months | 63 | 49 | 37 (1) | 54 (4) | 71 (1) | 53 (4) | 70 (1) | 55 (2) | 44 (6) | 58 (3) | 46 (4) | 63 (2) | 31 | 37 | 30 | 30 | 54 | 34 | 4 | 9/4JF | ||
| 4 | ▶ Bramble Gibsond 3y 10 | C L Hardy — 20% R203 W40 P125 Trainer form — last 3 months | 50 | 53 | 36 (1) | 26 (3) | 55 (3) | 37 (4) | 39 (6) | 51 (4) | 34 (5) | 61 (2) | 68 (1) | 55 (2) | 31 | 24 | 10 | 27 | 42 | 31 | 5 | 6/1 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Solway Aussied 2y 45 | D Little — 22% R105 W23 P64 Trainer form — last 3 months | 45 | 52 | 24 (3) | 49 (2) | 69 (2) | 31 (2) | 36 (1) | 59 (3) | 60 (3) | 77 (1) | 54 (5) | 77 (1) | 20 | 35 | 32 | 34 | 48 | 27 | 6 | 5/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Pollys Purlerb 2y 7 | P Singlewood — 20% R126 W25 P69 Trainer form — last 3 months | 51 | 43 | 28 (2) | 22 (6) | 37 (1) | 23 (5) | 33 (2) | 22 (5) | 48 (5) | 37 (6) | 56 (3) | 53 (4) | 36 | 29 | 31 | 33 | 32 | 33 | 2 | 6/1 | ||
Droopys Renee leads the field on both composite score and speed rating — the two primary factors in the sprint formula where rating carries 70% of the weight. Best time of 17.18 at this exact distance demonstrates genuine familiarity with 290m racing. Track and distance suitability are the best among the leading contenders, meaning the composite advantage reflects real Newcastle sprint data rather than accumulated noise from mismatched contests. Form trajectory shows recent improvement. With both speed rank and composite rank converging here, this is the methodologically correct selection on a thin dataset.
Fastest raw time in field (16.99) and best performance score — but very low track and distance suitability suggests form from elsewhere.
Competitive times and composite 33 but form history shows poor strike rate — consistent runner-up or mid-fielder.
T4 has 33% historical win rate at 290m Newcastle (thin sample) — structural note, but composite 31 and speed 50 trail the selection.
Speed rating of 1 is anomalous data, best time 18.50 slowest in race — cannot be seriously considered in a competitive sprint.
Best track and distance suitability in the race — genuine Newcastle sprint familiarity, but composite 27 is the weakest in the field.
290m D3 at Newcastle — tiny sample of 168 runs. T4 win rate of 33% and first-bend R1 of 38% may reflect small-sample noise. Sprint formula: rating 70%, suitability 25%, bend 5%.
T4:33.3% T1:18.0% T2:17.0% T3:17.9% T5:13.5% T6:14.3%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 290m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.