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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Polar Expressb 2y 26 | W M Lyons — 19% R1048 W203 P559 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 22 | 31 (6) | 39 (6) | 70 (1) | 65 (3) | 44 (5) | 77 (1) | 24 (6) | 55 (4) | 30 (6) | 29 (3) | 22 | 37 | 26 | 41 | 58 | 46 | 5 | 5/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Markstreet Miab 2y 27 | T D Coote — 19% R575 W110 P292 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 39 (4) | 50 (3) | 40 (5) | 46 (4) | 29 (3) | 16 (6) | 25 (4) | 37 (1) | 28 (5) | 20 (6) | 60 | 31 | 26 | 34 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 5/2F | |
| 3 | ▶ Ballymac Baxterd 3y 9 | B Heaton — 15% R196 W30 P96 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 69 | 37 (1) | 32 (2) | 31 (3) | 24 (5) | 23 (4) | 27 (3) | 26 (4) | 21 (6) | 39 (6) | 44 (5) | 46 | 45 | 21 | 44 | 55 | 51 | 2 | 4/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ How Are Neverd 2y 16 | J G Hurst — 18% R272 W49 P154 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 38 | 30 (2) | 29 (3) | 21 (6) | 30 (2) | 33 (3) | 25 (6) | 30 (4) | 41 (1) | 38 (1) | 24 (5) | 31 | 26 | 24 | 33 | 51 | 42 | 6 | 11/2 | |
| 5 | ▶ Shelone Lunab 5y 25 | D W Wright — 19% R21 W4 P12 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 32 (3) | 36 (3) | 37 (1) | 32 (2) | 33 (2) | 22 (6) | 36 (1) | 34 (3) | 37 (1) | 32 (1) | 36 | 41 | 39 | 51 | 63 | 53 | 3 | 11/4 | |
| 6 | ▶ Twoshookmend 3y 16 | W M Lyons — 19% R1048 W203 P559 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 62 | 51 (3) | 30 (2) | 31 (3) | 56 (3) | 58 (2) | 46 (4) | 64 (1) | 59 (2) | 28 (3) | 30 (2) | 39 | 39 | 38 | 52 | 61 | 52 | 1 | 4/1 | |
Best speed in the field (58) by 6 points with strong early pace (EP 60, bend 62). Won D3 from T6 despite Kinsley's gradient disadvantaging T6 — the speed overcame the draw. Then 6th from T6 the next run — volatile like T5. Fader CS 43 at 268m sprint is acceptable — the trip is short enough. SuitDist 52 is field-best distance form. T6 at Kinsley is disadvantaged by the gradient but the speed advantage (58 vs 52 for next best) is large enough to compensate on a good day. The concern: the 6th shows the gradient CAN beat the speed when things don't go right.
DANGER: Best sprint pace from the favoured draw. If the pace converts today (it hasn't yet in graded company), he leads wire-to-wire. The 3rd shows he's competitive. The main pace threat.
Closer with worst EP at 268m sprint. No chance to close at this distance. Likely 5th-6th.
Strong trap suit but terrible D3 form. The suitability hasn't translated to results. Likely 5th-6th.
Stepping up from D4 with a Closer profile at sprint distance. Neither fast enough to lead nor enough time to close. Likely 4th-5th.
D3 winner but extreme 1st-6th volatility from T5. The gradient disadvantage adds risk. Against T6's better speed and similar volatility, T5 is the lesser outside-draw bet. 3rd-5th.
No standout — both D3 winners (T5, T6) are volatile (won then 6th). T3 has best sprint pace from favoured draw but never won at D3. Speculative confidence is honest.
Kinsley downhill favours T1-T4. But both D3 winners today are from T5/T6 — against the gradient bias. Sprint rules: pace > draw.
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 268m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.