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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Flickering Belleb 2y 10 | P V Swadden — 21% R104 W22 P55 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 46 | 57 (2) | 49 (4) | 45 (4) | 44 (5) | 43 (4) | 49 (5) | 53 (4) | 42 (5) | 71 (1) | 57 (3) | 56 | 41 | 26 | 36 | 55 | 51 | 1 | 5/2 | |
| 2 | ▶ Parties Choiceb 3y 18 | D D Porter — 17% R521 W90 P286 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 59 | 51 (2) | 50 (3) | 44 (4) | 39 (4) | 54 (4) | 41 (4) | 56 (4) | 62 (2) | 42 (4) | 69 (1) | 30 | 36 | 29 | 36 | 55 | 48 | 3 | 7/2 | |
| 3 | ▶ Ardera Villed 2y 7 | M P Brown — 21% R425 W89 P244 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 42 | 58 (3) | 47 (5) | 72 (2) | 76 (1) | 65 (2) | 60 (3) | 41 (6) | 56 (3) | - | - | 21 | 17 | - | 10 | 53 | 40 | 5 | 13/8F | |
| 4 | ▶ Coolemore Poppyb 2y 6 | J M Liles — 19% R423 W79 P222 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 44 | 56 (6) | 31 (3) | 59 (5) | 25 (1) | 27 (2) | 26 (2) | 21 (2) | 48 (3) | - | - | 34 | 30 | 37 | 37 | 35 | 35 | 6 | 20/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Fifis Ladd 3y 17 | D D Porter — 17% R521 W90 P286 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 56 | 71 (1) | 71 (3) | 59 (2) | 56 (2) | 52 (4) | 68 (5) | 53 (4) | 50 (4) | 72 (1) | 55 (3) | 30 | 13 | 20 | 17 | 55 | 43 | 4 | 4/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Dumbledored 4y 46 | P J Dolby — 13% R52 W7 P20 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 47 | 34 (6) | 44 (5) | 47 (6) | 71 (1) | 54 (4) | 43 (5) | 52 (4) | 61 (2) | 71 (1) | 54 (4) | 53 | 47 | 50 | 41 | 54 | 52 | 2 | 6/1 | |
Flickering Belle holds the key advantage in this race — the rail draw at a trip where trap 1 wins nearly a third of all races. She's a confirmed closer with an outstanding finishing kick, and the Towcester 500-metre trip is tailor-made for that style. Recent form has been strong with a peak effort of 71 three runs back, and she's rarely below the mid-50s. Trainer Swadden places his dogs thoughtfully and this looks a deliberate booking at the right trip from the right draw. She'll be last early but the data says that barely matters from trap 1 here.
Prominent from the second-best trap with a strong trainer — the clear danger.
Capable on best form but too inconsistent with poor suitability — others preferred.
Well below her best and outclassed on current form.
Will lead early but fading profile plus dead trap makes holding on very difficult.
Talented closer but the dead trap 6 draw is a fatal structural flaw tonight.
Trap 1 dominates at an extraordinary 31.8% — nearly double the expected rate. The pick is drawn there with the best closing speed in the field. Traps 5 and 6 are dead draws at this trip.
T1:31.8% T2:22.3% T3:17.7% T4:17.7% T5:14.7% T6:12.2%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Flickering Belle | 38 | 95 | Closer |
2Parties Choice | 54 | 35 | All-Rounder |
3Ardera Ville | 24 | 100 | Closer |
4Coolemore Poppy | 52 | 31 | All-Rounder |
5Fifis Lad | 57 | 26 | Fader |
6Dumbledore | 47 | 65 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.