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The Arena Racing Company Dual Distance Heat 1
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Optic Pharaohd 3yREP 23 | S R Miller — 14% R276 W40 P121 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 69 | 56 (5) | 61 (4) | 58 0 | 69 (4) | 49 (3) | 71 (6) | 56 (3) | 93 (5) | 65 (1) | - | 11 | 34 | 14 | - | 62 | 29 | 3 | 8/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Ballymac Akid 2yREP 34 | D Blackbird — 17% R1097 W185 P604 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 48 | 66 (4) | 56 (5) | 78 (3) | 87 (2) | 74 (3) | 47 (3) | 92 (1) | 18 (3) | 90 (1) | 60 (5) | 14 | 45 | - | - | 68 | 29 | 5 | 11/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Kilshenane Divab 1yREP 25 | J Watson — 31% R26 W8 P14 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 4 | 100 (1) | 87 (3) | 63 (4) | 95 (1) | 100 (1) | 90 (1) | 66 (1) | 47 (4) | 22 (6) | - | 3 | 15 | - | - | 81 | 45 | 1 | 4/9F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Da Rebel Catd 2yREP 24 | D Blackbird — 17% R1097 W185 P604 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 77 | 46 (5) | 74 (2) | 82 (1) | 34 (6) | 48 (6) | 56 (5) | 49 (3) | 45 (6) | 40 (5) | 52 (4) | 1 | - | - | - | 55 | 27 | 4 | 14/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Toddys Pantherd 2yREP 27 | T C Heilbron — 16% R208 W34 P98 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 55 | 64 (3) | 69 (2) | 57 0 | 70 (5) | 76 (3) | 47 (4) | 36 (6) | 51 (6) | 61 (3) | - | 16 | 25 | 22 | - | 61 | 33 | 2 | 3/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Murhur Bolgerd 2yREP 35 | D Blackbird — 17% R1097 W185 P604 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 33 | 30 | 43 (5) | 53 (5) | 66 (6) | 60 (2) | 42 (3) | 58 (6) | 42 (5) | 64 (5) | 88 (3) | - | 22 | 28 | - | - | 55 | 22 | 6 | 25/1 | - | |
The structural case for this pick is compelling. Has the best speed rating in the field, the best first-bend rating of any runner — a critical asset at a 261m sprint where the first corner is the key moment — and is drawn in trap 3, which along with trap 4 has produced 28 percent of winners at Sunderland 261m OR3 from 150 runs. That is the joint-best trap in the field. Trainer J Watson operates at a strong 33 percent strike rate, suggesting deliberate placement and confidence in the runner tonight. Maximum early pace as a Fader means this dog will be at the front from the off, which at 261m is where you need to be. The form has been built at 500m in A5 grade, so this is a trip and grade switch, but speed and early pace from the right trap is the primary currency at sprints — not experience at the distance. The structural alignment of speed rank 1, best bend, best trap, and top trainer is the clearest stack on the card.
Joint-best trap and solid recent form. Main danger to the selection if the structural alignment for Traffic Control does not translate.
Good Sunderland form and decent bend rating but trap 1 is a historical dead draw at this grade and distance. Cannot be recommended.
Best average performance rating but the Closer pace profile is problematic at a 261m sprint. Hard to fancy fully at this distance.
Honest form at OR3 grade but the draw and trip both work against a bold showing at this sprint distance.
Decent trap draw is the main positive but form is inconsistent and the Closer profile does not suit a 261m sprint.
Trap 1 is an absolute dead draw at OR3 261m — zero wins from 21 runs. Traps 3 and 4 both hit 28% each. Composite rank 1 wins 36% from 50 runs — strong. Speed rank 1 hits 32.8% from 58 runs.
T1:0.0% T2:20.8% T3:28.0% T4:28.0% T5:14.8% T6:21.4%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 261m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (261m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 245m | 261m | 290m | 330m | 435m | 450m | 480m | 500m | 525m | 640m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Optic Pharaoh | — | — | — | — | 0.604 | 0.625 | 0.609 | 0.592 | — | — |
| 2 | Ballymac Aki | — | — | — | — | — | 0.614 | 0.624 | 0.612 | — | — |
| 3 | Kilshenane Diva | 0.596 | 0.607 | — | 0.542 | 0.597 | — | — | — | 0.588 | — |
| 4 | Da Rebel Cat | — | — | — | — | — | 0.634 | 0.615 | 0.595 | — | 0.625 |
| 5 | Toddys Panther | — | — | 0.606 | — | — | 0.618 | 0.615 | — | — | — |
| 6 | Murhur Bolger | — | — | — | — | — | 0.627 | — | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.