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The Thank You To Donal Kehoe 525
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Highpath Expressb 2y 23 | - | - | 48 | - | 61 (6) | 67 (2) | 76 (3) | 68 (2) | 67 (4) | 47 (5) | 64 (4) | 84 (1) | 63 (2) | 56 (5) | 16 | 26 | - | 21 | 66 | 40 | 4 | 3/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Chapelstbrunod 2y 35 | Leo Dunphy — 0% R11 W0 P4 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 75 (2) | 48 (6) | 82 (2) | 64 (4) | 94 (1) | 44 (6) | 87 (1) | 81 (1) | 52 (4) | 70 (2) | - | 45 | 18 | 39 | 69 | 46 | 3 | 5/4F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Cosy Bridieb 3y 4 | - | - | 63 | - | 69 (3) | 59 (6) | 79 (2) | 65 (5) | 62 (6) | 96 (5) | 33 (1) | 50 (6) | 97 (3) | - | 30 | 34 | - | 40 | 68 | 58 | 2 | 3/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Slaneyside Aced 2y 23 | Derek Kehoe — 17% R65 W11 P36 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | - | 48 (6) | 45 (6) | 88 (1) | 58 (4) | 49 (6) | 61 (4) | 44 (6) | 85 (1) | 35 (5) | 46 (4) | 2 | - | 17 | 19 | 56 | 20 | 6 | 5/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Ballygur Michaeld 2y 15 | - | - | 50 | - | 91 (1) | 63 (4) | 67 (4) | 81 (1) | 79 (1) | 61 (5) | 51 (5) | 62 (3) | 72 (3) | 66 (3) | 19 | 43 | - | 38 | 72 | 52 | 1 | 5/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Mandeville Beaud 4y 45 | - | - | 48 | - | 48 (6) | 54 (5) | 45 (5) | 64 (5) | 78 (4) | 68 (4) | 90 (1) | 73 (3) | 64 (5) | 71 (4) | 12 | 14 | 28 | 2 | 61 | 38 | 5 | 4/1 | - | |
Compelling credentials — highest average performance in the race at 72 and WON at A2 grade on June 18th, which is one level higher than today's A3. Dropping back into A3 company after winning at A2 is a very positive sign. Form reads 91, 63, 67, 81, 79 in recent runs with the 91 win at A2 the standout. Trap 5 at A3 wins 16.5% from 115 runs — a decent draw. The course has been visited regularly based on the suitability data. The only thing working against them is Cosy Bridie holding the speed advantage in the better trap — but if that dog is beaten, Ballygur Michael is the most likely winner.
Speed leader in best trap — the two strongest predictors at A3 Waterford both pointing to the same dog. Pick at Medium confidence.
Consistent A3 performer but in a below-average trap — honest runner who may lack the punch to beat the more talented options here.
High-quality form with 94 in the book but drawn poorly — the trap handicap is a real concern given how heavily Waterford penalises outside draws at A3.
Potentially high-quality runner based on 88 peak but recent form has dipped sharply — needs to rediscover that level.
Recent poor form combined with worst structural trap — very hard to support today.
Trap 3 dominates at 25% from 108 runs. Speed rank 1 wins 29.4% — the strongest predictor at this grade and distance. Trap 6 worst at 9.4% from 106 runs.
T1:14.3% T2:12.6% T3:25.0% T4:18.6% T5:16.5% T6:9.4%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 325m | 525m | 550m | 575m | 730m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Highpath Express | 0.557 | 0.564 | — | — | — |
| 2 | Chapelstbruno | — | 0.562 | 0.558 | 0.558 | — |
| 3 | Cosy Bridie | — | 0.555 | 0.553 | 0.565 | 0.570 |
| 4 | Slaneyside Ace | — | 0.567 | — | — | — |
| 5 | Ballygur Michael | — | 0.564 | — | — | — |
| 6 | Mandeville Beau | — | 0.564 | 0.547 | 0.561 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.