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Homing Dogs With Home Run Hounds Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Honour Flyerb 3y 6 | A S Mcpherson — 15% R274 W40 P125 Trainer form — last 3 months | 56 | 49 | 54 (5) | 82 (1) | 72 (2) | 76 (1) | 35 (6) | 56 (2) | 40 (5) | 43 (6) | 36 (5) | 17 (4) | 47 | 22 | 16 | 48 | 58 | 54 | 2 | 6/1 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Highbury Gunnerd 2y 6 | L Cook — 18% R131 W24 P74 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | 49 | 68 (3) | 64 (3) | 66 (4) | 81 (1) | 52 (4) | 46 (6) | 41 (6) | 58 (5) | 70 (3) | 73 (3) | 28 | 27 | 24 | 17 | 63 | 49 | 3 | 4/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Dotties Imageb 2y 27 | J Daly — 19% R233 W44 P125 Trainer form — last 3 months | 40 | 53 | 38 (5) | 62 (3) | 64 (4) | 82 (1) | 55 (6) | 22 (1) | 79 (3) | 82 (1) | 62 (4) | 63 (3) | 20 | 31 | 28 | 32 | 63 | 40 | 6 | 4/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Hollyhill Bulletd 1y 8 | F Macklin — 21% R200 W42 P104 Trainer form — last 3 months | 51 | 55 | 90 (1) | 80 (1) | 53 (3) | 62 (2) | 73 (1) | 62 (2) | 45 (5) | 70 (1) | 59 (2) | - | 38 | 66 | - | 51 | 69 | 57 | 1 | 6/5F | ||
| 5 | ▶ Vair Little Legsb 1y 26 | K A Lempard — 15% R20 W3 P13 Trainer form — last 3 months | 32 | 51 | 51 (5) | 66 (2) | 22 (6) | 79 (1) | 56 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | 16 | 39 | 6 | 37 | 55 | 37 | 5 | 3/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Lavender Blueb 2y 6 | S W Deakin — 16% R507 W82 P232 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | 45 | 59 (3) | 54 (5) | 59 (5) | 49 (5) | 74 (3) | 44 (5) | 69 (2) | 78 (4) | 62 (4) | 63 (5) | 25 | 27 | 35 | 23 | 61 | 48 | 4 | 28/1 | ||
The standout pick on the card and the clearest case for Strong confidence tonight. Hollyhill Bullet has just won at OR grade over 491 metres, clocking 29.29 — that is a remarkable time and a performance that puts her in a different class to this A3 field. Dropping back to A3 after OR-level success is a significant concession and the trainer has placed her where she can win. The track and distance suitability of 66 and 51 are the best in the race by some margin, confirming she knows how to win here. Trap 4 is the best-performing box at A3 Nottingham 500m, winning 22.3% of races from 328 runs, so the draw completes the picture. She was rated 90 last time out and has been consistently in the eighties and nineties recently — form that is comfortably clear of anything else in this field. She leads early and Nottingham's first-bend dynamic tends to keep front-runners in contention.
In-form improver but likely running into Hollyhill Bullet at her best — best chance of minor honours.
Consistent A3 performer but lacks the class to trouble tonight's favourite.
Closer with solid trap draw — best hope of capitalising if the favourite meets trouble.
Lightly raced improver in the wrong trap — hard to back at this stage.
Wide draw closer on a tight-bend track — wrong combination for Nottingham.
T4 is best trap at A3 with 22.3% from 328 runs. T5 worst at 15.6%. Speed R1 wins 23.2% from 655 runs. Grade-specific T4 dominance is a clear override of the all-grades T1 profile.
T1:16.1% T2:18.0% T3:20.7% T4:22.3% T5:15.6% T6:18.0%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Honour Flyer | 49 | 47 | All-Rounder |
2Highbury Gunner | 51 | 53 | All-Rounder |
3Dotties Image | 49 | 64 | Closer |
4Hollyhill Bullet | 83 | 0 | Fader |
5Vair Little Legs | 52 | 29 | All-Rounder |
6Lavender Blue | 0 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.