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HAYLEY AND LISSIA'S BIRTHDAY STAKES
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Joes Luckd 2y 19 | K Billingham-hine — 19% R614 W115 P347 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 55 | 34 (3) | 56 (3) | 68 (4) | 56 (5) | 49 (5) | 46 (5) | 89 (1) | 86 (1) | 58 (4) | 51 (4) | 33 | 34 | 32 | 25 | 56 | 44 | 2 | 7/2 | |
| 2 | ▶ Shannas Coved 3y 22 | R Taberner — 20% R731 W146 P426 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 44 | 99 (1) | 44 (4) | 77 (2) | 68 (5) | 76 (4) | 82 (3) | 79 (3) | 73 (2) | 64 (4) | 16 (5) | 23 | 34 | 6 | 34 | 72 | 51 | 5 | 7/2 | |
| 3 | ▶ Tullymurry Rishid 2y 27 | J B Thompson — 19% R524 W100 P287 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 44 | 65 (4) | 70 (3) | 62 (4) | 78 (2) | 67 (4) | 90 (1) | 80 (2) | 91 (1) | 69 (2) | 87 (1) | 47 | 59 | - | 36 | 73 | 53 | 1 | 7/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Tromora Forced 2y 15 | C S Fereday — 18% R470 W86 P233 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 56 | 34 (4) | 63 (4) | 53 (5) | 71 (3) | 63 (6) | 82 (1) | 62 (3) | 82 (1) | 56 (4) | 82 (1) | 42 | 34 | 46 | 31 | 60 | 50 | 4 | 11/4 | |
| 6 | ▶ Ivy Hill Viperd 2y 39 | K Billingham-hine — 19% R614 W115 P347 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 53 | 66 (4) | 41 (2) | 80 (4) | 85 (1) | 81 (1) | 34 (4) | 65 (3) | 84 (2) | 34 (3) | 54 (5) | 38 | 43 | 10 | 30 | 64 | 48 | 3 | 6/4F | |
Carries the highest clean avgPerformance in the race at 73 and a last run of 65 from a genuinely strong form window earlier this year. The 58-day break since last racing (last run April 9) is noted and warrants caution — dogs returning from extended layoffs can lose peak sharpness. However, the ability level at A3 is above the rest of the five-runner field and trap 3 at A3 Monmore has a structural advantage at 22.5%. The pick is made on best available ability with the layoff treated as a risk to acknowledge rather than a disqualifier.
Strong consistent form from the worst structural draw. Will win if the pick is below best after the layoff.
Good draw but last run was a concerning dip. Cannot be selected on current form.
Potentially exceptional ability but data anomaly in last run prevents selection. Monitor next outing.
Career form is competitive at A3 but last run was a sharp dip. Form concern limits selection confidence.
A3 Monmore 480m: T3 carries a structural edge (22.5%) and T6 is the weakest (9.2%). Tullymurry Rishi occupies T3 with the highest clean performance figures in a five-runner field.
T1:20.8% T2:17.2% T3:22.5% T4:16.0% T5:14.3% T6:9.2%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Joes Luck | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Shannas Cove | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Tullymurry Rishi | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
4Tromora Force | 60 | 5 | Fader |
6Ivy Hill Viper | 62 | 2 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.